Saturday, August 12, 2006

The New York U.S. Senate Race!

1-term U.S. Senator Hillary Clinton is up for reelection and faces two competitors.

The Major Candidates
(D/IP/WF)Hillary Clinton, U.S. Senator 2001-Present, Fmr. U.S. First Lady 1993-2001,Chair of the U.S. Legal Sevices Corp 1977, Fmr. First lady of Arkansas 1979-1981, 1983-1993

(R/I)Kathleen "KT" McFarland, U.S. Deputy Assistant Secretary of Defense and Pentagon official, Staff Member to the Senate armed services Committee

(R/C) John Spencer, Fmr. Yonkers City Mayor 1997-2001, Substance-Abuse Consultant ex banker and Vietnam Veteran

Popular Sen. Clinton will most Likely win in this campaign, but Spencer and McFarland are bound determined to defeat her. Ex Mayor of the 4th largest city in the state, Yonkers, New York, Spencer and Defense department official KT McFarland are both vying for the G.O.P. nomination, but both can get on the November ballot if they lose the primary. Spencer has been nominated by the Conservative party of New York and McFarland has annouced she has started an independent bid just in case she loses her primary bid. I think McFarland most likely won't run as an independent if she loses. Spencer clearly out funds Mcfarland, but McFarland is holding on to good numbers in the polls. Sen. Clinton though is easily out funding both combined and is almost doubling their numbers in the polls, but I feel numbers will begin to drop for Clinton. She will still most likely win by a comfortable margin. Primary Day is on Sept. 12th so it still leaves a little more campaigning time for Spencer and McFarland.

My Predictions
G.O.P. Primary
(R)Spencer 53%
(R)McFarland 47%

The General Election
(D)Clinton 56%
(R)Spencer 40%
Other 4%

Actual Polls
(D)Clinton 61%
(R)Spencer 31%

(D)Clinton 61%
(R)McFarland 31%

Both McFarland and Spencer should fair the same against Sen. Clinton.


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