Sunday, August 13, 2006

The California Governors Race

The California Governor's Race has been long awited by state democtrats since the 2003 Recall of their governor Gray Davis. They have wanted to knock Current Governor Arnold Schwartzenegger since he took office.

The Major Candidates
(R)Arnold Schwartzenegger, Governor of California 2003-Present. Presidential Board of Fitness, International Movie Actor & Body Builder

(D)Phil Angelides, California State Treasurer 1999-Present, Chairman of the State Democratic Party 1991 & Businessman

(G)Peter Camejo, Businessman & Investment Company Founder, Unsuccessful Independent for President, Vice President, Green Party Candidate for Governor 2003 & 2002, Green Party Nominee for State Secretary of State

There are other candidates but will most likely get a very small margin of votes.

This will be one of the most competitive races in years. Gov. Schwartzenegger started his governorship with mass popularity. Then he came under attack by the democratic legislature and a very important budget legislation of his was denied in a special legislation and Arnold's staff stated if it didn't pass he wouldn't run for another term. In a suprise Gov. Arnold annouced his campaign for another term. His challenger the state treasurer Phil Angelides barily triumphed over a very bitter primary challenge from State Controller Steve Westly 48%-43%. Many feel that was a mistake for the party because according to polls Westly had a better chance of winning against Schwartzenegger. Angelides is an old veteran of the party campaigning for many offices. he finally won the state treasurers race. Angelides did have a slight edge over Schwartzenegger after his primary. After Schwartzenegger recieved a boost and his approval rating went up. he started recieving a 7-13 point lead and has held on to it till today. It is still a very close race and is one to watch.

My Prediction
(R)Schwartzenegger 49%
(D)Angelides 44%
(G)Camejo 5%
Others 2%

Actual Polls

Rasmussen Reports
(R)Schwartzenegger 47%
(D)Angelides 41%

Public Policy Institute of CA
(R)Schwartzenegger 43%
(D)Angelides 30%
(G)Camejo 4%

Field Poll
(R)Schwartzenegger 45%
(D)Angelides 37%

Zogby/WSJ
(D)Angelides 44.0%
(R)Schwartzenegger 42.3%

This is still very close so Angelides or Schwartzenegger will serve as governor for the next 4 years.

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