Friday, June 29, 2007
Thursday, June 28, 2007
Wednesday, June 27, 2007
Arkansas U.S. Senate:
Senator Mark Pryor may face a tough challenge, but its not likely. Ex-US Attorney Chuck Banks is looking to be his GOP challenger, however if Former Governor Mike Huckabee ever leaves the 2008 presidential race early he could easily unseat Pryor.
Our Rating: Leaning Democratic Hold
Georgia U.S. Senate:
Senator Saxby Chambliss remains popular and looks to be safe but he faces alot of Democratic challengers. Attorney General Thurbert Baker and Ex Governor Roy Barnes are considering a run and both could but a decent fight against the Senator.
Our Rating Leaning Republican Hold
Illionis U.S. Senate:
Sen. Dick Durbin has become less popular, but Illionis voters are liekly to give him another term. State Senator Bill Brady is his likely challenger and he wont go far.
Our Rating: Safe Democratic Hold
Iowa U.S. Senate:
Tom Harkin is facing some challengers, but his popularity should cruise him to an easy re-election. Congressman Steve King is his only challenge.
Our Rating: Safe Democratic Hold
Louisiana U.S. Senate:
Tuesday, June 26, 2007
Sunday, June 24, 2007
Saturday, June 23, 2007
Friday, June 22, 2007
1st: Mitt Romney (steady) Thompson is starting to have an effect on Romney's lead in Iowa and NH but new polls in California put him on top so in the race for delegates he is nearly tied with McCain. Romney is certainly a force to be reckoned with.
2nd Tied: Fred Thompson (rising) Thompson now has a consistant lead in South Carolina and adds Texas to his growing list of state leads. He now is either tied with McCain nationally and one Rasmussen Poll (which tends to be inaccurate) shows him leading nationally. Could this actor actually win?
2nd Tied: Rudy Giuliani (falling) Giuliani is now in trouble nationally. He has lost his leads in big states like NY and CA and is slipping to 3rd and 4th in key states. Still doing well fundraising and keeps his national lead.
4th: John McCain (falling sharply) McCain is at the lowest level of his campaign. He now is in 3rd or 4th in key states and slipping fast nationally. McCain needs a big pick up soon or he could reach the point of no return. I still feel McCain isn't dead and that is too early. He can rebound.
5th: Mike Huckabee (rising) Now tied with McCain in Iowa and close to double digit territory there. Can he make it to the Top tier?
1st:Hillary Clinton (steady) Well this is her 26th top spot win this week. She now holds leads in even Iowa some polls suggest. Could Hillary surge so far to become uncatchable? I doubt it. Obama and Edwards still have a shot of a comeback but a small one.
2nd: Barack Obama (steady) The only things keeping him in the race is his fundraising and his national poll numbers, but both dont count for nothing when Iowa and NH are held. He needs a bounce in NH and Iowa. South Carolina is leaning his way though.
3rd: John Edwards (falling) Edwards is starting to lose his Iowa lead and he needs that lead to stay in the race. His national numbers are faltering too.
4th: Bill Richardson (steady) Richardson holds Biden off after poor debate performances. Impressive for his campaign.
5th: Joe Biden (steady) Just cant find that edge to surge into the top tier.
Thursday, June 21, 2007
Wednesday, June 20, 2007
Tuesday, June 19, 2007
I have just recently returned from the Wyoming GOP central committee meeting and they have chosen Former US Assistant Attorney General and Former Chief of Staff to Then Rep. Craig Thomas, Tom Sansonsetti, State Senator representing Northern Casper, John Barrasso and Former State Treasurer Cynthia Lummis as their 3 nominees to replace the late Senator Craig Thomas. I got a chance to talk to the 3 nominees and Barrasso said if appointed he will work to continue Sen. Thomas's legacy and bills recently named after him, Lummis said if she was appointed she would work to keep Craig Thomas's staff and would work with Wyoming's congressional delegation. We are going to try to get an interview with one of the 3 nominees in the coming days before Freudenthal announces the next senator.
Ballot #2 For the Top 10
Tom Sansonetti 60
John Barrasso 59
Ron Micheli 40
Cynthia Lummis 37
Matt Mead 31*
Randall Luthi 31
Paul Kruse 30
Colin Simpson 28
Frank Moore 25
Bruce Asay 14
Ballot #3 for the Top 5
Tom Sansonetti 58
John Barrasso 56
Cynthia Lummis 44
Matt Mead 30
Ron Micheli 25
Barraso, Lummis and Sansonetti now have to wait for Governor Freudenthal's decision for who the next senator will be. Here is the nominees and their past positions:
Tom Sansonetti-Former Cheif of Staff to Rep. Craig Thomas, Former US Assistant Attorney General and Former GOP State Chairman.
John Barrasso-State Senator, Surgeon, and Former State GOP Treasurer
Cynthia Lummis-Former State Treasurer, Former State Senator, Former State Representative, Rancher and Attorney
Sunday, June 17, 2007
Wyoming U.S. Senate Seat: 30 candidates line up for Thomas's seat and begins what is called a wild 2008 in WY.
Here is the list on candidates:
(R)Bruce Asay, Attorney and 2004 U.S. House Candidate
(R)John Barrasso, State Senator and Surgeon
(R)Cale Case, State Senator, Attorney and 2004 U.S. House Candidate
(R)Doug Chanmberlain, Former State Representative
(R)Ben Henry Collins, Minister
(R)Dave Edwards, State Representative
(R)Dennis Fox, Unknown
(R)Larry French, Insurance Business and Party Activist
(R)Brian Gamroth, Radio Announcer
(R)Jan Charles Gray, Casper Attorney
(R)John Holtz, Laramie Attorney
(R)Ray Hunkins, Republican Nominee for Governor 2006, Unsuccessful candidate for Governor GOP primary 2002, Rancher and Attorney
(R)Paul Kruse, Cheyenne Attorney and Party Activist
(R)Nora Marie Lewis, Newspaper Columnist Unsuccessful Senate Candidate '90 and '88.
(R)Cynthia Lummis, Former State Treasurer, State Legislator and Attorney
(R)Randall Luthi, Deputy Director of U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service, Former State House Speaker, and State Legistator
(R)Matthew Mead, Former U.S. Attorney, Grandson of Fmr. Governor and Senator Cliff Hansen
(R)Ron Micheli, Former State Legislator and Rancher
(R)Frank Moore, Former State Legislator and Rancher
(R)Bill Paddleford, Teton County Commissioner and Businessman
(L)Thom Rankin, Health Care Adm., Libertarian U.S. House Nominee 2006
(R)Tom Sansonetti, Former Chief of Staff to Sen. Craig Thomas, Fomrer GOP Chariman, Former US Assistant Attorney General
(R)Jack R. Sapp, Businessman
(R)Joe Schloss, U.S. Armey Sergent Major retired, Party Activist
(R)Colin Simpson, State House Majority Leader, Son of Former U.S. Senator Alan Simpson
(R)Randall Stevenson, Rancher and Party Activist
(R)Clark Stith, Rock Springs Attorney
(R)Nate Stratton, Unknown
(R)Jeanna Wright, Insurance Company Co-owner
(R)Charles C. Young, Physician
Very long list of Candidates but Politics-Central has narrowed it down to the frontrunners:
State Senator John Barrasso(R)
Former State Treasurer Cynthia Lummis(R)
Former State House Speaker Randall Luthi(R)
Former U.S. Attorney Matt Mead(R)
State House Majority Leader Colin Simpson(R)
State Senator Cale Case(R)
I will be at the GOP Party meeting to choose the 3 candidates and will be here imediately after to announce the 3 nominees.
Barrasso, Lummis, Mead, Sansonetti, and Simpson are all seen as possible conenders for the 2008 special election for the seat if not chosen as the replacement. Colin Simpson has announced if not selected as the replacement he will run against Rep. Barbara Cubin in the GOP primary for her seat. No republican has ever come close to beating Cubin, but with Simpson's famous last name and experience he could be the first. Last year an unknown recieved 40%! against Cubin in her primary. Democrats looking into the seat our Gary Trauner, who ran and narrowly lost to Cubin for her seat last year, State Senator Mike Massie, and Attorney, Son of Fmr. Governor Joe Hickey and Unsuccessful 2002 Gov. Candidate Paul Hickey. Even Govenor Freudenthal has been mentioned but will likely remain governor. Whatever happens in the coming weeks it sure will be a crazy 2008 here in Wyoming!
Here's the link:
Wednesday, June 13, 2007
Decision 2008: Presidential Power Rankings Week #25: Thompson on top of GOP while Hillary strengthens her lead.
Saturday, June 09, 2007
Possible Candidates for Craig Thomas's U.S. Senate Seat.
(R)Susan Thomas-Wife of the late Senator Craig Thomas.
(R)Colin Simpson- State Rep. and Son of Former Sen. Alan Simpson.
(R)Randall Luthi-Former State House Speaker.
(R)Fred Parady-State GOP Chairman, Former State House Speaker and Candidate for State Treasurer '06.
(R)Max Maxfield-State Secretary of State, Former State Auditor.
(R)Cynthia Lummis-Former State Treasurer.
(R)Tom Sansonetti, Cheyenne Lawyer and Party Activist.
(R)Matt Mead, Former U.S. Attorney
(R)John Barrasso, State Senator representiting Casper.
(R)Eli Bebout, State Senator representiting Riverton, Former State House Speaker, and 2002 Republican nominee for Governor.
(R)Ray Hunkins, 2006 Republican nominee for Governor, 2002 candidate for GOP nomination for governor.
(R)Lynne Cheney, Vice President Cheney's wife.
Who are the frontrunners for the job?
(R)Susan Thomas-She is the first to be asked whether she will take his seat or not.
(R)Colin Simpson-Good Friend of the Thomas family and the GOP.
(R)Eli Bebout-Recently chosen to replace a dead state senator, and a strogn party leader
(R)Max Maxfield-2nd in command in the state and long time politician.
(R)John Barrasso-The only state senator that really knew the family and has been known to have wanted this seat.
(R)Matt Mead-Resigned as U.S. Attorney to go for the position, friends with Governor Freudenthal.
Friday, June 08, 2007
Adams: I am pro-life and believe that scientifically, ethically, and morally, life begins at conception. The Declaration of Independence counts life as an "unalienable right" and therefore that must extend to a life even at its very beginning. Life must be protected by law or judicial interpretations of the law.
Politics-Central: You have recently formed a website with fellow independent presidential candidate Bob Hargis, who may be seeking Unity'08's nomination for president in order to get on the ballot in all 50 states. Do you have any interests in seeking their nomination and why did you and Mr. Hargis choose to form this site?
Adams: I have explored the plans as listed at the Unity '08 site. The people behind Unity '08 seem to be more interested in a ticket comprised of candidates from the main two parties. While they do mention the possibility of an independent on the ticket, I do not see that as a realistic end goal for them.
Bob and I formed IndependentsTogether.us because we are both long shots without support from big money and political parties. We needed to band together to better use the resources and information we have both gathered. We also thought it was important to show that aspiring politicians can be men of integrity and put the concerns of the nation before our own individual pride and ambitions. Should one of us see a surge in our campaign, the other will be cheering and helping as opposed to tearing the other down.
Politics-Central: On the topic of the War in Iraq nearly 2 out of 3 Americans want our troops withdrawn. If elected president would you choose to send troops home or keep them in Iraq ?
Adams: I would bring the troops home as soon as it would be possible to do so. Neither your readers nor I have access to the facts. We see and hear bits and pieces of information filtered by the media and the government. Once I find out what is really going on, I will instruct the commanders of the military to plan and execute a safe and quick exit strategy. At the same time, I would inform the government and people of Iraq that their national destiny was in their hands.
Politics-Central: Is there any other presidential candidates that you would support besides your self, what's the name of this candidate and why would you support him or her?
Adams: At this time, there is no other candidate from the two major parties that I would support. I see no individual who would gain support of a national party who could also break free from the stranglehold their party has on their actions. The "first tier" candidates have been bought by years of financial and logistical support. They would serve their party instead of the American people and we can no longer prosper as a nation with that type of environment. No third party or independent candidate other than Bob Hargis has impressed me to this point.
Politics-Central: What is the most important problem or potential crisis facing America today and if elected president what would you do to avert this problem or crisis?
Adams: We have several pressing issues which are the war in Iraq and illegal immigration which affects so many aspects of our society. But the one issue that overshadows all the other issues is our budget. Our yearly deficits and overall debt will bankrupt our country; and a country that is not financially stable cannot field an army, defend its borders, keep any of its promises, or take care of its own people in any way. If we do not fix our spending habits, no other issue will matter in the long run.
The plan to fix the problem is to work with Congress to stop any discretionary spending and focus on the essentials alone. I will veto any spending bill or budget that contains pork/entitlements/earmarks, or payback to any special interests. An alternative tax or fairtax should be investigated for the long term.
McEnulty: Personally I am against it. However, having spoken with people who have been faced with the decision of getting an abortion or not, I realize it is probably one of the most difficult decisions most women can ever make in their lives and one rarely forgotten. My preference would be that no one would ever feel that they have to get or contemplate an abortion for any reason. However, I also believe that this is a moral issue that is best decided by a woman, her family, friends and religious beliefs and legislated by the states.
Politics-Central: What are your plans for our involvement in Iraq?
McEnulty: In spite of what the media wishes to portray, most of Iraq is in pretty good shape. The northern Kurdish section is doing very well with lots of new houses. The Southern British controlled regions are in much better shape. The problem child is the one in the middle and I believe the solution to that section has to be to allow the military to do what needs to be done to remove as much resistance as possible without political interference. That will make a lot of "human rights" people howl to the heavens, but what about the rights of all of those who are being forced to live a horrible day-to-day existence because of the few bad ones.
Politics-Central: Why are you choosing to run as an Independent?
McEnulty: I believe that both political parties are only in it for the good of the party and have lost all sense of trying to do what is good for the country. When a member of the opposite party "never" says anything that you can agree with then you are only operating on party ideology and not good sense.
Politics-Central: Many Independent Candidates have sited interest in Unity'08's nomination for president, such as Bob Hargis, do you plan on seeking their nomination and what are your views of Unity'08?
McEnulty: I applaud their efforts and am watching them closely. As of yet I have not decided what to do concerning them.
Politics-Central: How do you plan to get your ideas well known since you are running as an independent with not too much money or party support?
McEnulty: I send out emails and press releases on an almost weekly basis. I pick up a few more people each week and am fighting hard to get some recognition in the press.
Thursday, June 07, 2007
Decision 2008: Presidential Power Rankings Week #24: GOP swap moves Mitt to #1 and Clinton remains on top.
1st: Mitt Romney (rising) Still on top in NH and Tied in Iowa and coming back in South Carolina I think after 3 solid debate performances Romney's campaign got a surge in early state polls. National Polls he remains in 3rd, 4th or 5th. Romney has a strong fundraising base still and he has emerged as the rockstar of the republicans running.
2nd Tied: Fred Thompson (steady) The media buzz and early support for Thompson thrusts him to #2. He remains in the double digits in polls and 2 polls now have shown in him 2nd nationally. He now leads in 3 states now.
2nd Tied: John McCain (steady) His immigration and Iraq troop surge views are really starting o have an affect on him. These debates have been to kind to his campaign . He has come off as too old and not as firey as he was back in 2000.
2nd Tied: Rudy Giuliani (steady) His early state polls are falling but he remains on top nationally. He is still considered the frontrunner but he has certainly lost his huge lead.
5th Tied: Newt Gingrich (steady) Has entered the race still and wont until Sept., but still gets double digit support in many states and is in 3rd of 4th nationally. His name recongition helps just a little
5th Tied: Mike Huckabee (rising) Huckabee has emerged as the leader of the 2nd tier and is the most likely dark horse. He has had great pulses from the debates. His christian look helps him among party voters.
1st: Hillary Clinton (steady) Hillary is somewhat falling again with one national poll for the 2nd time ever showing her behind Obama. Most polls show her up by at least 10 points but her poularity nationally is decreasing and her early state leads in NH and SC are evaporating.
2nd Tied: Barack Obama (steady) Strengtrh nationally put at this spot but polls in early states such as Iowa and NH are weak . He must win South Carolina or he will have to quit and currently he narrowly leads. His Debate performances haven't helped at all.
2nd Tied: John Edwards (rising) His lead in Iowa and growing support nationally drwas us to put him next to Obama. His national polls and fundraising need help. His strength against Republicans in the general election is impressive however.
4th: Bill Richardson (steady) His strength in early states helps him, but his debate peformances may be his downfall.
5th: Joe Biden (rising) Great debate performances may later give him a boost.
Wednesday, June 06, 2007
There were a couple sparks and lighting threats on Rudy but it was really a calm debate. The GOP's chose to attack the Democrats, namely Hillary instead of each other. McCain and Giuliani debated a little on immigration and it is my opinion that neither emerged victorious. Rudy and Romney once again had strong performances, but we have to give the win to Senator McCain. Paul made another fool of himself, and the rest weren't that impressive. Gilmore critized the frontrunners of not being conservative and added Fred Thompson to the list. Tommy Thompson stated he was the most conservative having the most vetoes and cutting taxes the most apparently. Brownback had another poor performance. Tancredo is slowly improving. Huckabee had another greta performance and shot the evolution question out of the park! Well thats it. Onto next month's debate!
Tuesday, June 05, 2007
Monday, June 04, 2007
Here are the most recent GOP national Polls.
(R)Giuliani 32% 26% 24% 25% 29%
(R)McCain 19% 17% 17% 24% 23%
(R)F. Thompson 11% 9% 8% 8% 12%
(R)Romney 9% 8% 9% 9% 8%
(R)Gingrich 9% 10% 6% 7% 6%
(R)Huckabee 2% 2% 1% 2% 1%
(R)T. Thompson 1% 1% 2% 2% 1%
(R)Brownback 1% 2% 2% 1% 2%
(R)Gilmore 1% 1% 1% 1% 1%
(R)Hunter 1% 1% 1% 1% 1%
(R)Hagel N/A N/A -% 1% -%
(R)Paul 1% 1% 1% 1% 1%
(R)Tancredo 1% 2% 1% 1% 1%
Sunday, June 03, 2007
Here are the Latest National Democratic Polls
(D) Clinton 38% 39% 35% 35% 35% 31% 35%
(D)Obama 24% 22% 26% 24% 20% 21% 23%
(D)Gore 12% N/A 16% 10% 13% 13% 17%
(D)Edwards 12% 19% 12% 11% 13% 10% 8%
(D)Richardson 5% 2% 2% 2% 4% 2% 2%
(D)Biden 2% 3% 2% 1% -% -% 2%
(D)Dodd 2% 2% 1% 1% -% -% 1%
(D)Kucinich 1% 1% 1% 1% -% 2% 1%
(D)Gravel -% -% -% 1% -% -% -%
Saturday, June 02, 2007
Here's who we invited
Orion K. Daley
Mark B. Graham
Bob W. Hargis
"Average Joe" Schriner
These are just the independents we have asked to attend.
We have decided to hold a Minor Republicans Forum and a Minor Democrats Forum as well. Possibly even a Libertarian and Green party Forums.
Here are the schedules for each: (Note: these are subject to change due to candidates replies)
Independent Candidates Forum June 9th 4pm
Republican Candidates Forum Some time in July
Democratic Candidates Forum Sometime in August
Libertarian Candidates Forum Sometime in September
Green Candidates Forum Sometime in October
That should keep you all busy this summer.