Tuesday, April 15, 2008
Thanks to you the readers! This site never would have been what was without you!
Saturday, April 05, 2008
General Election Match-Up
1st: Republican: John McCain (rising) McCain's general election numbers have nowhere to go but up. His resources may be dried up, but with the Democrats battling for the nomination heating up, McCain has had the spotlight and the time to pick a running mate, and re-unite his party. McCain has done so, and has steamed ahead. National Polls may show McCain tied against Obama but in the battleground states, McCain leads in PA, FL, Ohio, MI, WI, NJ, and I even saw a poll that had the Democratic state of Massachusetts. McCain certainly has the advantage now.
2nd: Democratic: Barack Obama (falling) Obama may be rising in primary polls, but this bitter fight with Clinton has allowed him to fall 5 points nationally and is now tied with McCain nationally. Obama is behind in key states such as Fl, OH, and PA, and usual Democratic Safe zones such as NJ, MA, CT, and Michigan show the race close. Obama is strong in the west holding on to leads in California, and he holds slim leads in WA, OR, NV, NM, and CO. If Obama can swing these western states, win either Ohio and Florida and hold onto key democratic states he will be our next president.
3rd: Democratic: Hillary Clinton (falling) Clinton fairs better in key battleground states against McCain and I feel she is more electable than Obama. She leads McCain in Ohio, and PA, and holds onto the Democratic Northeast. She trails in the west, and maybe she will need to hit California with new polls suggesting McCain gaining on her there, but with wins in OH and PA she could win the White House. The Midwest leans McCain in MI, WI, and MN and both Democrats need to work on that.
Here are our Battleground States as of April 5th. Obama vs. McCain
Safe GOP 157
Leans GOP 83
Overall GOP: 240 Electoral Votes
Safe DEM 75
Leans DEM 93
Overall DEM 168 Electoral Votes
Sunday, March 23, 2008
Thursday, March 20, 2008
Wednesday, March 12, 2008
Tuesday, March 04, 2008
Thursday, February 21, 2008
Wednesday, February 13, 2008
U.S. Senator John McCain (R-AZ) for President of the United States
U.S. Senator Mike Enzi (R-WY) for U.S. Senator
U.S. Senator John Barrasso (R-WY) for U.S. Senator
Cynthia Lummis for Wyoming's Lone U.S. House Seat
Mike Johanns for U.S. Senator
Lane Startin for Idaho Governor
U.S. Senator Max Baucus (D-MT) for U.S. Senator
Jim Risch for U.S. Senator
Chris Peden for Texas U.S. House District #14
U.S. Senator Pat Roberts for U.S. Senator
Rep. Heather Wilson (R-NM) for U.S. Senator
Roy Brown for Montana Governor
U.S. Senator Susan Collins (R-ME) for U.S. Senator
More to come later on in the 2008 Campaign.
Monday, February 11, 2008
Friday, February 08, 2008
Former Arkansas Governor Mike Huckabee
Minnesota Governor Tim Pawlenty
South Carolina Governor Mike Sanford
Mississippi Governor Haley Barbour
U.S. Senator John Thune
U.S. Senator Lindsey Graham
Former MA Governor Mitt Romney
Fmr. Homeland Security Secretary Tom Ridge
Fmr. U.S. Senator Phil Gramm
U.S. Senator Sam Brownback
U.S. Senator Richard Burr
Florida Governor Charlie Crist
U.S. Senator Mel Martinez
U.S. Congressman Mike Pence
Fmr. U.S. Senator George Allen
Fmr. U.S. Senator Fred Thompson
U.S. Senator Tom Coburn
U.S. Senator Joe Lieberman
Fmr. Governor Jeb Bush
U.S. Senator Kay Hutchison
Fmr. NYC Mayor Rudy Giuliani
Fmr. U.S. Sec. of State Colin Powell
I'm hoping for a McCain/Huckabee ticket or a McCain/Thune Ticket, but Im sure I will be satiffied with whoever Sen. McCain chooses as his running mate, just as long a John McCain is the next president of the United States.
Thursday, February 07, 2008
Descision 2008: Thank Mitt! Gov. Romney departs Presidential Bid, giving McCain the ticket to the General
Wednesday, February 06, 2008
The Democrats: Obama's momentum pulled off to win 13 states several of which were in Clinton territory. He didn't pull off a win in California, but Obama was able to pull off big wins in, GA, AL, MO, and CT. All 4 except GA were expected to go to Hillary 2 weeks ago. Hillary remains about 100 delegates ahead because she won the bigger contests, however Obama is looking pretty good in the upcoming schedule. He will probably win most if not all the contests on Saturday and on Tuesday and could catch Hillary by next week. It is looking to be a long Democratic contest battle to the nomination. I doubt we wont have this resolved until April or there is now a strong possibility this could go to convention, but I bet one candidate will clinch with just 2 candidates remaining. Coming out of this race Obama is hoping to sweep the smaller contests and hope that will keep his momentum going to win Texas and Ohio in March and PA in April. Howewer Hillary will be focusing on those big states and has an advantage there currently. This race could go either way
Monday, February 04, 2008
Wednesday, January 30, 2008
1st: John McCain (rising) McCain now is officially crowned GOP frontrunner with big win out of Florida. McCain now rides the winds of ths win into Super Tuesday where he leads in most polls in almost every state. McCain is now inching closer to capping this thing, and we crown him nominee-to-be. I see no scenerio where McCain doesn't win the nomination for the Republicans.
2nd: Mitt Romney (falling) Doing well in the debate tonight, but it was more of just for show. Romney is too far behind and trails in too many states to win the nomination unless something huge happens causing McCain too slip, but that is very unlikely.
3rd: Mike Huckabee (steady) Could win one or two states in the South next week, but he doesn't have the startegy or the money to continue much farther than Super Tuesday. he'll stay in to steal votes from Romney and to be a VP running mate.
4th: Ron Paul (falling) Paul isn't showing any support above 5% now and is support is slipping quickly. Congressman Paul is running a spoiler campaign just with alot of money nothing more.
1st: Hillary Clinton (falling) Hillary is slipping, with the momentum again in Obama's corner however she still holds leads in Super Tuesday states. Clinton's national lead is slipping, but I still see her as the frontrunner, and the advantage is in her corner.
2nd: Barack Obama (rising) Obama is rising, but he has a wide gap to close and only in 6 days. Obama could pick up a lot of delegates and I won't count Obama out until Texas and Ohio on March 4th, where I bete Obama can do well in.
Super Tuesday Predictions (final predictions on 2/4)
Alabama: McCain wins, Huckabee 2nd
Alaska: McCain wins, Romney 2nd
Arizona: McCain wins, Romney 2nd
Arkansas: Huckabee wins, McCain 2nd
California: McCain wins, Romney 2nd
Colorado: Toss-Up between McCain and Romney
Connecticut: McCain wins, Romney 2nd
Delaware: McCain wins, Romney 2nd
Georgia: McCain wins, Huckabee 2nd
Illionis: McCain wins, Romney 2nd
Massachusetts: Romney wins, McCain 2nd
Minnesota: McCain wins, Romney 2nd
Missouri: McCain wins, Huckabee 2nd
New Jersey: McCain wins, Romney 2nd
New York: McCain wins, Romney 2nd
North Dakota: Toss-up No Polling???
Oklahoma: McCain wins, Huckabee 2nd
Tennessee: McCain wins, Huckabee 2nd
Utah: Romney wins, McCain 2nd
West Virginia: McCain wins, Romney 2nd
Alabama: Obama wins, Clinton 2nd
Alaska: Clinton wins, Obama 2n:d
Arizona: Clinton wins, Obama 2nd
Arkansas: Clinton wins, Obama 2nd
Tuesday, January 29, 2008
Florida Republican Presidential Primary Results
Friday, January 25, 2008
GOP Florida: I'm getting really tired of this close races. I hopes there is a blowout, soon. This one 4-way race is now a 2-man race between guess who? John McCain and Mitt Romney. Who else. These two have been top rivals for most of the campaign and with this being their what well I guess 3rd 2-way race both 1 for 2. McCain held a small lead 3 days ago, however he and Romney our now deadlocked. 3 polls have McCain with a 2-5 point lead and 3 polls have Romney both with a 3-4 point lead. All the polls however show Giuliani slipping to a fight for 3rd, instead of first with Mike Huckabee. Giuliani needs a win here to continue. I expect McCain to eek out a narrow victory, but I wont count out the Mitt Machine as I have in the past. Either will be in 1st or 2nd, Giuliani 3rd, and Huckabee 4th. This will force Giulaini out, but surprisingly Huckabee still leads in some southern states such as Georgia, so I'm not willing to count him out. McCain leads in the Northeast, and whomever wins Florida may get a boost in CA where McCain currently leads. If McCain can hold on to the lead should he not win, he will be the nominee, and if wins FL, he will nearly clinch this thing on Super Tuesday. Romney needs a win here to make it an overall 2-way race.
Tuesday, January 22, 2008
Sunday, January 20, 2008
Saturday, January 19, 2008
Well the big news of the evening is Senator John McCain who was left for dead over the summer, has emerged as the Republican Frontrunner and won the South Carolina Primary. McCain emerges after his triumphant win here to go into Florida where he already leads and close the deal or come close to it. McCain does face a challenge from the Nevada Caucus Winner today, Mitt Romney, however the caucus was minor and uncontested by the other candidates. Hillary Clinton surprised Obama's union endorsers and won the Democratic frontrunner spot, with a win in Nevada, and a strong chance to surprise us next week and shut down the Obama campaign. Obama leads in the polls in SC and McCain leads in Florida but will that hold? Congressman Duncan Hunter also exited the race for what its worth.
South Carolina GOP Presidential Primary Results 99% Reporting
(R)John McCain 143,224 33% 19 Delegates
(R)Mike Huckabee 128,908 30% 5 Delegates
(R)Fred Thompson 67,897 16%
(R)Mitt Romney 64,970 15%
(R)Ron Paul 15,773 4%
(R)Rudy Giuliani 9,112 2%
(R)Duncan Hunter 1,035 0%
Nevada GOP Presidential Caucus Results 100% Reporting
(R)Mitt Romney 22,649 51% 18 Delegates
(R)Ron Paul 6,087 14% 4 Delegates
(R)John McCain 5,651 4 Delegates
(R)Mike Huckabee 3,616 2 Delegates
(R)Fred Thompson 3,521 2 Delegates
(R)Rudy Giuliani 1,910 1 Deleagate
(R)Duncan Hunter 890 2%
Nevada Democratic Presidential Caucus Results 98% Reporting
(D)Hillary Clinton 5,355 State Delegates 51% 12 Delegates
(D)Barack Obama 4,773 State Delegates 45% 13 Delegates
(D)John Edwards 396 State Delegates 4%
Uncommitted 31 State Delegates 0%
(D)Dennis Kucinich 5 State Delegates 0%
Thursday, January 17, 2008
1st: John McCain (steady) Michigan was a sad upset for the McCain campaign, but with his lead holding in SC McCain still holds the frontrunner spot. His huge lead nationally and growing leads in Super Tuesday states, will catch up his weak funding. McCain needs a win in SC to keep frontrunner status. Without it his campaign will far all apart again and dont look for another comeback.
2nd: Mitt Romney (rising) Michigan put him back in the race and he leads the pack in fundraisng votes, states and the all-important delegate count. Romney is looking for his 3rd win in Nevada this weekend with polls favorable. Romney will need it with a likely 3rd or worse finish in South Carolina. The only question I have is where does the Romney campaign go after this weekend. he trails in every Super Tuesday state except his other 2 homestates of Utah and MA. Hs money is gone and he is speanding his own now. Romney will need some wins and a bounce to become viable.
3rd: Mike Huckabee (steady) Huckabee is rising in polls in SC slowly, however his slipping numbers in his stronghold of the south he needs a win this Saturday, or his win in Iowa will be long forgotten.
4th: Rudy Giuliani (falling) Giuliani is now in a 4-way fight for a win in Florida, his do or die state. Without a win there his Super Tuesday standing will fall apart quickly, and another candidat or candidates will emerge without him.
5th: Fred Thompson (rising) Thompson is rising and is up to 17% in SC but that is still only a fight for 3rd. He needs a win here to continue and without one he will be done. I expect Thompson to quit the race next week and endorse McCain.
1st: Hillary Clinton (rising) Hillary won a meaningless beauty contest in Michigan, however Hillary is closing the gap in SC, and even if she finishes in a strong 2nd she can spin it as a win. If she upsest Obama in Nevada as recent polling suggests she can hold the momentum into Florida and Super Tuesday where she holds substaintial leads in both.
2nd: Barack Obama (steady) Obama will likely win this weekend in both states and will ned both wins to overtake Hillary's wide Super Tuesday lead. If things hold Hillary could wipe Obama out in Super Tuesday in one fowl swoop. Obama needs convincing wins to hold onto the momentum in the race. Obama is far from out, but his campaign needs to be doing some manuvering.
3rd: John Edwards (falling) Edwards absolutel needs a upset win in Nevada and close 3rd in Sc to even be considered now and both seem unlikely. Edwards who was a serious candidate just so shortly ago, is a spoiler in the race to the 2-person primary battle.
4th: Dennis Kucinich (falling) Kucinich has neer been in the race but when he only got 5% in Michigan competing against Mr. Uncommitted and lost badly. The spoiler lives on however.
5th: Mike Gravel (falling) Gravel is done and you probably dont even know who he is.
Republicans (1,191 in order to clinch nomination.)
(R)Mitt Romney 41
(R)John McCain 19
(R)Mike Huckabee 17
(R)Fred Thompson 8
(R)Ron Paul 4
(R)Duncan Hunter 1
(R)Rudy Giuliani 1
Democrats ( 2,208 in order to clinch nomination)
(D)Barack Obama 25
(D)Hillary Clinton 24
(D)John Edwards 18
Tuesday, January 15, 2008
Thursday, January 10, 2008
Wednesday, January 09, 2008
(D)Hillary Clinton 112,251 39%
Tuesday, January 08, 2008
Monday, January 07, 2008
(New Polls will not include candidates with X)
(R)Tancredo 3% X
(R)Brownback 1% X
(D) Edwards 14%
(D)Biden 14% X
(D)Gravel 12% X
(D)Dodd 1% X
(L)E. Thompson 35% X
(L Phillies 9%
(G)Nader 36% X
(R)Mitt Romney 28.7%
(D)Barack Obama 36.9%
Friday, January 04, 2008
1st tied: Mike Huckabee (rising) On the top of his Iowa victory, Huckabee could be on his way to frontrunner status but he better get a strong showing in NH and win Michigan and South Carolina if he wants to hold frontrunner status. Huckabee has proved himself, with Iowa coming from behind to beat the seemingly unstoppable Mitt Romney. Congrats to Governor Huckabee!
1st Tied: John McCain (rising) Romney's defeat allows McCain to surge t vicotry in NH and he is now in the best position to win the nomination hwoever he must win NH. People must remember Romney is still in a statistcal tie with McCain in NH so Romney isn't out quite yet. McCain has been given a 2nd chance so can he make something out of it?
3rd: Mitt Romney (falling) Despite what the candidate said himself yesterday was a stunning defeat for his campaign. He now is in danger of going extinct and becoming the Howard Dean of 2008. No screaming involved however. He needs a NH Gold, however with the momentum in McCain's corner Romney is in trouble.
4th Tied: Rudy Giuliani (falling) After polling 10 months agao at 20% Rudy only recieved 4%. A very poor showing for America's mayor. Giuliani needs a 3rd place in NH and a win in Florida. He may also need to start campaiging in South Carolina and forget his startegy.
4th Tied: Fred Thompson (rising) Thompson does need credit for a tie for 3rd place in Iowa, but a slight bronze isn't that great. Thompson has no startegy left and if McCain wins NH look for him to support McCain.
1st: Barack Obama (rising) For the first time in our 46 rankings Politics-Central felt a win last night puts Obama in the best spot now to win the nomination. Obama's victory, 9 points over Hillary, needs to be given huge credit. Hillary was inevitable and now Obama is the only 1-0 candidate while Hillary is 0-1.
2nd: Hillary Clinton (falling) Hillary now needs to re-group and get it together in NH. She can gain frontrunner status back if only she can win NH. Without it Hillary will have to rely on Super Tuesday to get her campaign back on top. NH has been good to the Clintons in the past, will it remain good to the Clintons.
3rd: John Edwards (falling) Edwards needed a win not another 2nd place finish in Iowa so that has stuck a knive in his campaign. Edwards is finished and should be out before Super Tuesday.
4th: Bill Richardson (falling) Richardson got in the top 4 in Iowa and his campaign is bragging about that but what they forget is they recieved 2%. Don't be fooled Richardson is a vice presidential candidate and not a presidential candidate anymore.
5th: Dennis Kucinich (falling) Shut out of this weekend's debates Kucinich is in trouble. He wont get over 1%.
Thursday, January 03, 2008
Wednesday, January 02, 2008
Our Final Predictions
Tuesday, January 01, 2008
Sunday, December 30, 2007
Friday, December 28, 2007
Iowa GOP: Well we all know this race is coming down to 2 men, Mike Huckabee and Mitt Romney. We may see a darkhorse make this competitive, however if that was going to happen that candidate would be already breathing down the 2 frontrunners's necks. It appears Fred Thompson needs a strong finish here or it will be his last stand. Thompson's Iowa Tour has made him competitve with the surging John McCain for 3rd place, however McCain could survive without a 3rd place finish as he is banking on NH. Thompson needs this or his dead. McCain is starting to campaign now in Iowa so should be interesting to see if Thompson can survive. Huckabee's lead is holding on so I expect Huckabee to defeat Romney by at least 5 points. Even if this Bhutto crisis has hurt his foriegn policy stance. Romney can't get a bounce from that and likely it will only benefit McCain and Giuliani.
Iowa Democratic: The battle of the titans. The three frontrunners, Hillary Clinton, Barack Obama and John Edwards, are in a tight neck and neck race and once the dust clears from this showdown, the race could completely change. Edwards is gaining and Hillary is rising while Obama is slipping. Should this continue, Obama could be severly wounded and Edwards could replace him as the Hillary Alternative. If Hillary wins Iowa its all over, she will lock up the nomination quickly adn we wont even need to tune in to Super Tuesday. Obama realy needs a 1st or 2nd finish here and Hillary can not win or the Democratic nomination race will be done.
New Hampshire GOP: This race is also a 2 man showdown. Mitt Romney and John McCain and we know this will be competitive. Romney began this 2 day ad war that may control the rest of this primary. McCain is rumored to be striking make with negative ads, since Romney already has gone negative. McCain's strategy is relying on his foriegn policy experience and his latest endorsements to swing his way. McCain seemed not interested in getting in Romney's attack battle, but it appears he may be pressured into it. Romney is slipping here and now is neck and neck with McCain and McCain is known for his comebacks in this state. McCain wins here he wil surge to frontrunner status, and Romney will be severly wounded. Giuliani is hoping for at least a 3rd place finish, but Huckabee could surge with a win in Iowa to get 3rd here.
New Hampshire Democratic: This race will likely be decided on Iowa's result. Hillary wins Iowa she wins here. Obama wins Iowa he wins NH. Edwards likely can't comeback to win here but Iowa's momentum can't be underestimated. This state is crucial however to Hillary's startegy. The Former First Lady could be damaged severly if she doesn't win here. Obama needs this state if he loses Iowa. We can't predict anything without any results from Iowa.
Wednesday, December 26, 2007
Sunday, December 23, 2007
1st: Mike Huckabee (rising) Iowa seems to be leaning his way and now with SC, Michigan, Florida and national polls also in Huckabee's pocket, he once again earns a 1st place from us. Huckabee will be a force to be reckoned with after Iowa. He wins there he will be the frontrunner for the nomination without a doubt.
2nd Tied: Mitt Romney (falling) With his lead in Iowa gone and and his lead in NH down to 3, Romney could very well lose both states and his early state strategy is gone and thus his campaign for president. He needs a win in NH to stay alive. Without it hes gone.
2nd Tied: John McCain (rising) He's BACK!!!!!!!! McCain is now in a dead heat for 3rd in Iowa and a win in NH. With both he can secure Michigan, Nevada and possibly South Carolina. McCain needs a win however in NH. If Romney wins he'll steal the momentum back.
4th: Rudy Giulian (falling) Who would have thought Mike Huckabee would be the frontrunner and Giuliani would be near death in the campaign with less than 11 days left till the Iowa Caucus. Scandals and publicity against Rudy really has hurt him and he will likely now place in the top 4 in any early state, execpt for Florida. He needs Florida, without it he'll do poorly on Super Tuesday.
5th: Fred Thompson (falling) Now in a fight for 3rd in Iowa. Without at least 3rd Fred's out. Thompson now falls to 4th in SC, a must win. I just dont see any possibility Fred can win, so will drop him to 5th.
1st Tied: Barak Obama (rising) Yes for the first time Obama has done and shares the frontrunner spot with Sen. Clinton. Obama may very well win all the early states and crush Hillary in Super Tuesday if he infact wins Iowa. He needs a win in Iowa however. 2nd or 3rd to either Hillary or Edwards would kill his campaign and leave Hillary as the nominee.
1st: Tied: Hillary Clinton (falling) Hillary needs a win in NH or she could be in some trouble. The momentum goes to Obama and he could swing the whole thing in an upset. Clinton is now far from having this locked.
3rd: John Edwards (rising) Edwards could in fact win Iowa and not too many are acknowledge that. Edwards however could ahnd the nomination to Hillary. If he wins Iowa Hillary will surge and Obama will fall. Edwards better back off if he doesn't want Hillary to win.
4th: Bill Richardson (steady) Richardson now thinks he has a shot at the top job instead of Hillary's #2. well better get your eyes examined Bill you have no chance.
5th: Joe Biden (steady) too bad the most experience Democrat running is doing so badly. Sorry Joe you dont have a shot either.
(Edwards wil be out)
(Thompson will be otu)
No other Dems.
Thursday, December 20, 2007
Wednesday, December 19, 2007
1st: Mike Huckabee (steady) I bet if you told someone 1 year ago Mike Huckabee would be the frontrunner that would have laughed. Now its a reality and a real possibility he could win the nomination. Huckabee leads now in Iowa, SC, Michigan and even Florida!
2nd: Mitt Romney (falling) Losing his lead fast! Romney could be out even before Super Tuesday if somehow Iowa and NH slip from his grasp. New Polls have him slowly gaining on Huckabee, but can he top Huckabee's mounting momentum. Romney better start to sweat.
3rd: John McCain (rising) New Rasmussen Polls have McCain barely trailing Romney 31-27% in NH and now at 14% in Iowa at 3rd place. McCain is also surging quickly and is far from politically dead. I have said it before and Ill say it again McCain will finish well in Iowa and win NH and then the nomination.
4th: Rudy Giuliani (falling) Giuliani now seems to be politically dead. His offices are closing in Iowa and NH, and now Giuliani must rely on winning Florida, a state he is now trailing. Giuliani is also falling in California a big state on Super Tuesday and Huckabee and McCain are gaining. Looks like you all took my advice and starting looking at the best candidates.
5th: Fred Thompson (falling) Thompson needs a 3rd in Iowa and with McCain gaining from the Des Moines Register Endorsement, Thompson may be out before NH. Thompson needs a 3rd just to raise money and keep voters in tact until South Carolina where he's slipped to 4th. I really can't see anyway Fred can win this one. I expect him to drop out and endorse McCain after Iowa.
1st: Hillary Clinton (falling) Clinton's lead in all early states is long gone. Her time as frontrunner may be over. She could lose the first 3 contests. She might have to rely also on a win in Florida to win in Super Tuesday. Hillary will likely not be the nominee in January and maybe not even at all.
2nd: Barack Obama (rising) Obama now leads in Iowa and SC. Both could catapult him to knocking Hillary (did I actually say that) out of the race. He win Florida the Former First Lady might be in some real trouble. Obama will likely win Iowa now and maybe NH. Amazing that 3 years ago we didn't even know a Barack Obama.
3rd: John Edwards (rising) Edwards needs to win Iowa and hes only down by single digits. Edwards may surprise us all, but really a win for Edwards is a win for Clinton. That shuts Obama down and leaves her to crush Edwards in NH, SC, FL and Super Tuesday, just like Kerry did in 2004.
4th: Bill Richardson (steady) Richardson needs a win in Nevada and he wont get it so look for him to be applying for Hillary's VP soon.
5th: Joe Biden (steady) Remember this 1 month from now Biden will announce his candidacy for re-election. He's done.
Friday, November 30, 2007
1st: Mitt Romney (falling) The beginning of the drop that was expected to happen to Romney is finally happening. Primary Voters and Caucus Goers always take 2nd looks to frontrunners and aren't usually kind. With 49% undecided in Iowa, its anyone's game, and Huckabee is coming on strong.
2nd: Rudy Giuliani (falling) New Iowa polls show Giuliani in a distant 4th and 5th with McCain and Paul even surging ahead. In New Hampshire it seems Giuliani is slowly dropping and may leave it between Romney or McCain. He seems to be relying on a landslide victory in Florida on Jan. 29th, which polls suggest. However will his lead there hold with 4 loses especially if Romney wins them all?
3rd Tied: Mike Huckabee (rising) Huckabee surges ahead in Iowa, according to Rasmussen and that has surged his polls to 3rd and 4th in NH and within striking distance of the lead in South Carolina. If he wins Iowa Huckabee could surprise us all and steal the nomination away.
3rd Tied: John McCain (steady) McCain held a strong performance at the CNN Youtube Debates and recent NH polls show him within striking distance of Romney, howver others show a Romney landslide. That could all change in 1 month. McCain needs a win in NH in order to continue.
5th: Fred Thompson (falling) Fred does get 14% and 15% in Iowa and South Carolina but that still leaves him in a distant 3rd and 4th in both states and his lazy campaign and organization in those states may surge another candidate to win in those states. New Hampshire Polls have him at 2-3% with even Congressman Ron Paul leading him.
6th: Ron Paul (rising) Alot has changed from our last End of the Month rankings. Paul has shot to 6th from 8th. New New Hampshire and other Ealry Contest Polls show him at all time highs of 6-10%. He may make something of this campaign. He wont win the nomination, however he certainly is surprising us all.
7th: Duncan Hunter (steady) Hunter has the experience, but not the poll numbers. He will be another also-ran.
8th: Tom Tancredo (steady) His early state visits have lagged recently and he seems to slowly be abandoning his presidential run for his re-election bid to the U.S. House.
9th: Alan Keyes (falling) He isn't invited to any debats and many forget he was a strong candidate in 2000. If Hunter and Tancredo get to go, Keyes should as well.
10th: John Cox (steady) Making head-way for an Illionis Businessman and a complete unknown with no political experience. Getting on the NH and SC ballots helped, but he didn't comethrough with a debate performance.
1st: Hillary Clinton (falling) with Bill's mistakes on the war and flip flops on issues herself Hillary has also been hurt by the voters taking a 2nd look at the frontrunner. Her lead in Iowa has vanished and 3 polls have Obama ahead and Edwards catching. She could survive a 2nd but how would a 3rd place go, which silenced Once Dem. Frontrunner Howard Dean.
2nd: Barack Obama (rising) Obama has come on strong in Iowa, and a win there could give him the momentum needed to win the nomination. Clinton doesn't have the nomination locked up yet. Obama however must win or else its over.
3rd: John Edwards (steady) Still in a close 3rd in Iowa. He was able to pull an upset in Iowa 4 years ago, so he might be able to pull something out of this race.
4th Tied: Bill Richardson (falling) His numbers are poor everywhere, he will likely get 4th places in most states with maybe a few 3rds.
4th Tied: Joe Biden (rising) Biden seems to be coming on strong against Richardson, but way to far from the top. He might have to quit soon to campaign for re-election or go for Secrtary of State.
6th: Chris Dodd (falling) Not making headway anyway. He averages at 1% and could very well come dead last in some primaries and caucuses.
7th: Dennis Kucinich (steady) Kucinich sure is making hype about his campaign, however not enough to win the nomination. He'll finish last erveywhere, well I guess ahead of Gravel.
8th: Mike Gravel (steady) Sure to come in dead last. He isn't invited to anymore debates and no one covers his campaign. Its likely he will not even get 1% in any state.