Sunday, January 20, 2008

Decision 2008: Presidential Power Rankings #49: McCain vs. Clinton?

Iowa, NH, Michigan, Nevada and South Carolina for the GOP are done, and here is how the race is shaping up.


1st: John McCain (rising) McCain emerged as the frontrunner with a win in SC. McCain has even picked up the surge yet in Florida from SC and he already leads there. His national lead and Super Tuesday state leads also remain strong. Unless there is a major upset in FL I can't see any other situation, but McCain winning the nomination. He still has a strong enough showing among the GOP and Independents to probably clinch the nomination not that long after Super Tuesday.

2nd: Mitt Romney (steady) Romney won NV in a landslide but no one really cares. he skipped the important SC primary and they showed him what happens when you do and dealt him the worst finish yet in the race. Romney needs an upset win in FL to win the nomination however that isn't likely. Romney is McCains only real challenger now.

3rd Tied: Rudy Giuliani (steady) Giuliani is still in the runnignf or hsi do or die state and if he wins there he can pull another comeback in this different race, however I think the nation is tired of comebacks and they will show that Rudy's poor finishings in the early states will kill his chances.

3rd Tied: Mike Huckabee (falling) He needed a win in SC to keep his lead in the South, but with that gone and his FL support diminshing his win in Iowa will likely be forgotten and McCain is looking to sweep the South on Super Tuesday with Huckabee severly wounded.

5th: Fred Thompson (falling) Thompson finished 3rd, but he needed a strong 2nd or a win in SC and he didn't get anywhere close, so I think its safe to say Thompson is out of the race.


1st: Hillary Clinton (rising) Hillary is surging in SC and everywhere else and the Obama momentum has ended. Hillary did ahve to work for it, but if she finishes strong in SC, and wins FL plus big wins in Super Tuesday she can clinch this thing.

2nd: Barack Obama (steady) Obama needs a strong win in SC, too comeback to frontrunner status and win some states on Super Tuesday but its looking like Hillary has the advantage. Obama can't be counted out yet hwoever.

3rd: John Edwards (falling) I apologize. I actually thought Edwards could win Nevada when polls had him standing pretty good, in the upper twenties, but shows how you an't trust them. His 4% finsih did indeed kill whatever chance he had left. Edwards is now the King or Queen maker, and he could set himself up for a VP of cabinet position, if he sways his support the right way.

Other Candidates disqualified from rankings.

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