Friday, June 29, 2007

Decision 2008: End of the Month Presidential Power Rankings #27


Here's your annual end of the Month Rankings, the day before the 2nd quarter of the Presidential Campaign ends.

Republicans

1st Tied: Fred Thompson (rising) Thompson now has 5 state leads and is raking up the potential delegate numbers. His nationwide polls show him near the lead now. Rasmussen has him on top in their polling. Thompson's campaign hasn't even begun and he is on his way to dethrowning Rudy as the frontrunner.

1st Tied: Rudy Giuliani (rising) Rudy is expected to come out on top in fundraising tommorrow and he remains 7-10 points ahead nationally in most polls. The only problem Giuliani is facing is that he has yet to make a pulse in early contests in most polls. Only one has shown him in 2nd in the 3 early states on NH, IA, and SC.

3rd: Mitt Romney (steady) Romney remains on top in NH and IA, but his national polls are still hanging around at 10%. That is still very weak. Mitt was also on top in fundraising last quarter and now he is expected to come in 2nd or maybe even 3rd if McCain pulls a miracle which is very VERY unlikely.

4th: John McCain (falling) McCain is in it for the long haul calling the people who think hes going to quit crazy. McCain remains in double digits and one nationwide poll showed him tied for the lead. He isn't out of this race yet, but he still is lagging in support.

5th: Newt Gingrich (steady) With Thompson's huge surge into the lead, will the unstatisfactory of the current list of candidates surge him into the lead as well when he joins the race. Gingrich is lagging however in most polls.

6th: Mike Huckabee (rising) Improving his fundraising numbers and leading the 2nd tier everywhere could he crack the code to get into the top tier? It isn't likely but if I recall weren't Clinton and Carter in this situation as well?

7th: Tommy Thompson (rising) New polls out of Iowa show him tripling his support. He is now nearing double digit zone there, but it is unlikely that that we happen.

8th: Sam Brownback (steady) Brownback sure is trying hard, but he just isn't going anywhere.

9th: Ron Paul (rising) I think the debates had a positive effect on his campaign and he has surged now to lead the 3rd tier if there even is one.

10th: Duncan Hunter (steady) Hunter has jumped 2 positions in our rankings, but still isn't doing too well.

11th: Chuck Hagel (steady) Hagel really looks like he wont run in 2008 as a Republican and he now is looking into a tough re-election battle to the Senate or a independent run on a national ticket.

12th: Jim Gilmore (falling) We now dub him "Who the Heck is Gilmore". His name recognition is probably the worst out of any candidate and he now isn't even registering in polls. His homestate isn't even giving him double digits. Many now think he will drop out and run for John Warner's seat in the Senate if he retires.

13th: Tom Tancredo (steady) Dead last may be a little harsh for Tancredo, but he really is registering anywhere in any poll or in fundraising.

Democrats: (Note: We still do not feel Former Vice President Al Gore will run in 2008 so we will not include him in our rankings)

1st: Hillary Clinton (steady) Not really surprising that Hillary is on top again with her continual lead in 90% of polls. Her only challenge is winning Iowa and South Carolina and holding on to NH. Obama is expected to pass her in fundraising, and that isn't good for the Clinton camp, but as her support weakens look for more appearences of Bill.

2nd: Barack Obama (steady) Fundraising totals this quarter may prove that there is more to the Obama campaign than meets the eye.

3rd: John Edwards (steady) Edwards is going to do poorly it appears for fundraising, but he still remains on top in Iowa and thats all he needs to keep his campaign alive.

4th: Bill Richardson (steady) New Early contest polls show Richardson is alive and well in this campaign and could pull a miracle. I wouldn't count him out yet either.

5th: Joe Biden (steady) Biden like Brownback is campaignng around the clock, however it isn't having an effect in his numbers. 2 great debate performances haven't done a thing for him and he could just quit early and focus on his re-election bid in 2008.

6th: Christopher Dodd (steady) Dodd did well in fundraising in the 1st quarter for a 2nd-3rd tier candidate. Don't think it will do him any good though.
7th: Dennis Kucinich (steady) Remains about 1% in polls and is likely going to stay there.

8th: Mike Gravel (steady) Getting invited to debates has helped him a little, but really we all know he is just running to run. He can't win. Sam goes for Dodd, and Kuncinich and maybe more.

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