Wyoming Lone U.S. House Seat Race

This will most likely be the closest race in Wyoming. The 6-term Incumbant Barbara Cubin (R) is seeking a 7th term and she faces only two challengers. Fmr. U.S. Naval Captain and Sailor Bill Winney (R) is running against her in the G.O.P. Primary. On the democratic side Teton County School Board Chariman and businessman Gary Trauner (D) is running unopposed and will move on to face Cubin in the General.

The Candidates
(R)Barbara Cubin U.S. Congresswoman 1995-present, Wyoming State Senator 1993-1995, Wyomins State House of Representitives 1987-1993

(R)Bill Winney, Retired U.S. Navy Officer and Captain

(D)Gary Trauner, Teton County School Board Chairman 2005-2006, Internet Excutive

(L)Dave Dawson Libertarian State Party Chairman and '02 Gov. Candidate. It is uncertain Whether he is running or not.

In a very big suprise, Cubin refused to debate her primary challenge on Wyoming Public Televison. Winney is using this to show his experience over Cubin's. She has also really never campaigned. Her team is campaigning for her. Because of this I think Winney should perform a little better against Cubin. Winney has also showed his interests and intellegance in politics to gain support. Cubin has yet to respond to her challengers questions. Trauner has started the usual "it is time for a change" slogan that her old oppents used against her and has showed his involvment in Wyoming and shown Cubin as an outsider. The latest polls show Trauner only 4 points back and a first for Mrs. Cubin, he outfunded her last month. With this recent gain of support Trauner just might become the first democrat Wyoming has sent to congress in over 70 years. Cubin has to comeback and really hit the campaign trail if she wants that 7th term in congress. Dave Dawson a Libertarian also might be running. He ran for governor in 2002 and recieved almost 2,000 votes or 2% of the vote. He hasn't paid his taxes in years and many question his ability to serve.

My Prediction
G.O.P. Primary
(R)Cubin 61%
(R)Winney 39%

The General Election
(R)Cubin 53%
(D)Trauner 47%
(It is uncertain whether Dawson is running or not)

Actual Polls
Rasmussen Reports in May
(R)Cubin 47%
(D)Trauner 43%

Rasmussen Reports in Feb.
(R)Cubin 54%
(D)Trauner 36%