Sunday, September 10, 2006

Montana U.S. Senate Race


In Montana U.S. Sen. Conrad Burns is up for another term.

The Candidates
(R)Conrad Burns, U.S. Senator 1989-Present, Yellowstone County Commissioner 1987-1989

(D)Jon Tester, Montana State Senate President 2005-present, Monatana State Senator 1999-Present, Big Sandy School District Board #1 Chairman 1994-1999

Jon Tester emerged from one of the most bitter primaries against State Auditor John Morrison in a landslide victory when polls showed a dead heat. He now faces the Incumbant Conrad Burns. Burns is rated as one of the worst senators and his approval rating is the lowest compared to any senator. This GOP seat is called the most vulerable. Tester has held a slight lead in polls usually 3-0 points, but has lost some ground since the June primary. He did had have a 8 point lead but it has dropped. Most call this race a toss up. Tester and other dems continue to mack relentless attacks towards Burns. Many think Burns doesn't even want the job any more. Tester has also made a series of ads against Burns like showing him falling asleep during a committee hearing. Burns has yet to give a response and has even slipped that he wouldn't even care if he lost. This might really hurt him in November if he wants to keep his job. The two will soon debate which should be interesting to watch. I'm looking for Tester to destroy burns in their debates.

My Prediction
(D)Tester 53%
(R)Burns 46%
Other 1%

Actual Polls
(Rasmussen Reports)
(D)Tester 47%
(D)Burns 47%

(Gallup-5)
(D)Tester 48%
(R)Burns 45%

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