Saturday, September 23, 2006

Toss Up 2006 Midterm Election Races














The Missouri U.S. Senate Race

The Candidates
(R)Jim Talent, U.S. Senator 2003-Present, U.S. House of Representitives 1993-2001, State House Minority Leader 1989-1990, State House of Representitives 1985-1993

(D)Claire McCaskill, Missouri State Auditor 1999-present, 2004 Dem. Governor Nominee, Jackson County Prosecutor 1993-Present, State House of Representitives 1983-1993

This Race in my opinion is the closest one this year. Polls show the two between 1-2 points of each other. McCaskill is probably most known for her narrow defeat in her bid for governor in the last election against Matt Blunt.

My Prediction
(R)Talent 50%
(D)McCaskill 49%
Other 1%

Actual Polls
(Rasmuseen Reports)
(D)McCaskill 47%
(R)Talent 45%

Tennessee U.S. Senate Race

The Candidates
(R)Bob Corker, Mayor of the City of Chattanooga, Tennesse 2001-Present, State Finance Commissioner 1995-2001

(D)Harold Ford Jr., U.S. Congressman 1997-Present

Senate Majority Leader Bill Frist is not seeking reelection, most likey to run for prez in 2008. Bob Corker has been seen has his likely successor, but the latest numbers show Ford coming back and according to Rasmussen he has a 1-point lead. No democratic senator has held this seat since Al Gore so it should be interesting to see if they regain this seat in 2006.

My Prediction
(R)Corker 51%
(D)Ford 48%
Other 1%
Actual Polls
(Rasmussen Reports)
(D)Ford 46%
(R)Corker 45%

The New Jersey U.S. Senate Race

The Candidates
(D)Bob Menendez, U.S. Senator 2006-Present, U.S. Congressman 1992-2006, Fmr. State Legislator and Union City Mayor

(R)Tom Kean Jr., New Jersey State Senator, New Jersey State Senate Minority Whip 2002-2003, Son of Ex. Governor.

Menendez has only held the position for a few months after Sen. Corzine's resignation to become governor. He has been neck and neck with his challenger Tom Kean. The two have been always within each other by 1-4 points. kean currently has the advantage but it is too close to call.

My Prediction
(R)Kean 49%
(D)Menendez 48%
other 3%

Actual Polls
(R)Kean 48%
(R)Menendez 45%

The other toss up races I have already mentioned.

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