Friday, October 27, 2006

2006 Midterm Election Update #9/ More Endorsements








Politics-Central is now adding these candidates to the list of endorsements.

(R)Rita Meyer for Wyoming State Auditor
(R)Katherine Harris for Florida U.S. Senator
(R)Tim Pawlenty for Minnesota Governor
(R)Bob Beauprez for Colorado Governor
(R)Tom Kean Jr. for New Jersey U.S. Senator
(R)George Allen for Virginia U.S. Senator

The GOP now just might retain the U.S. Senate with numbers up in Virginia, Tennessee, and Missouri U.S. Senate Races. Sen. George Allen, though faces a very tough fight for his reelection only leading fmr. Naval Secretary Jim Webb by 1-3 points. One poll actually finds Webb ahead, but that was a week ago. Also slowly improving in numbers is Tom Kean Jr. up in New Jersey. He is only down by 1 point by Incumbant Bob Menendez. In Ohio, Pennsylvania, Rhode Island and Montana it looks like the GOP will lose seats. Sen. DeWine and Sen. Santorum are now down by double digits and Sen. Chafee and Sen. Burns are trailing by 6-8 points.

Here are my Predictions for the U.S. Senate Races

Arizona: GOP Hold Pederson wins by 8+ points
California: Strong Dem. Hold Feinstein wins by 15+ points
Connecticut: Independent Gain Lieberman wins by 8+ points
Delaware: Strong Dem. Hold Carper wins by 12+ points Florida: Strong Dem. Hold Nelson wins by 10+ points
Hawaii: Strong Dem. Hold Akaka wins by 30+ points
Indiana: Strong GOP Hold Lugar wins by 30-40 points
Maine: Strong GOP Hold Snowe wins by 40-50 points
Maryland: Slight Dem. Hold Cardin wins by 3-5 points
Massachusetts: Strong Dem. Hold Kennedy wins by 30-40+ points
Michigan: Dem. Hold Stabenow wins by 10+ points
Minnesota: Dem. Hold Klobuchar wins by 8+ points
Mississippi: Strong GOP Hold Lott wins by 30-40 points
Missouri: Very Slim GOP Hold Talent wins by 1-3 points
Montana: Very Slim Dem. Gain Tester wins by 1-5 points
Nebraska: Strong Dem. Hold Nelson wins by 15+ points Nevada: GOP Hold Ensign wins by 8+ points
New Jersey: Very Slim GOP Gain Kean wins by 1-3 points
New Mexico: Strong Dem. Hold Bingaman wins by 20+ points
New York: Strong Dem. Hold Clinton wins by 15-20 points
Ohio: Slight Dem. Gain Brown wins by 5-8 poitns
Pennsylvania: Slight Dem. Gain Casey wins by 4-8 points
Rhode Island: Very Slim Dem. Gain Whitehouse wins by 2-5 points
Tennessee: Very Slim GOP Hold Corker wins by 1-3 points
Texas: Strong GOP Hold Hutchison wins by 20+ points
Utah: Strong GOP Hold Hatch wins by 40+ points
Vermont: Independent/Democrat Hold Sanders wins by 15-20 points
Virginia: Slight GOP Hold Allen wins by 5-8 points
Washington: Slight Dem. Hold Cantwell wins by 6-10 points
West Virginia: Strong Dem. Hold Byrd wins by 30-40 points
Wisconsin: Strong Dem. Hold Kohl wins by 15-20 points
Wyoming: Strong GOP Hold Thomas wins by 40-50 points

Current U.S. Senate
Republicans 55 Seats
Democrats 44 seats
Independents 1 (Sen. Jeffords caused with the Democrats)

My Prediction for the U.S. Senate after the 2006 Election
Republicans 52 seats
Democrats 46 seats
Independents 2 seats (Both Sanders and Lieberman will caucus with the Democrats if elected)

Republicans Gains 1 Loses 4
Democrats Gains 4 Loses 1
Independents Gains 1 Loses 0

I will soon post my Governor and House predictions

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