Friday, December 22, 2006

Decision 2008: Presidential Candidate Power Rankings




















Here are this weeks power rankings. These rankings have been formed from recent polling and from public support lately for presidential hopefuls. Since this will be the final power ranking before 2007 from us we will rank all the candidates interested in the race.

Republicans:

1st: John McCain-Even though he is falling in some numbers we still believe McCain is the frontrunner because, of his lead among democrats and in Iowa and New Hampshire. Many polls show many different things. Some polls show dems finally defeating McCain and Giuliani and some show the two still beating them in a landslide. McCain will likely gain soon with Giuliani's liberal views coming out. McCain's views about more troops and concern for his age have brought his numbers down, but look for the GOP to go with experience, imstead of fame, because it usually has worked for them.

2nd: Rudolph Giuliani-He is still barely on top in GOP preference polls, but falls slightly behind McCain in Iowa and New Hampshire. Right now McCain leads by double digits in New Hampshire and in Iowa only by one point. Giuliani can't afford to lose either Iowa or NH. Giuliani's liberal views will likely get him into trouble. Fame only goes so far.

3rd: Newt Gingrich-Still beats Romney in polls, but momentum is leaving him fast and should lose this spot soon. Many question whether he will even run. If he does run he will likely become an also ran.

4th: Mitt Romney-He is just starting up a campaign yet and that is probably why he is doing so poorly in polls. Romney might have something to say in early key contests. I feel Romney might be doing better in polls if he had ran for another term as governor.

5th: Sam Brownback-He may have trouble getting conservatives to come to him with Gilmore and Romney likely to run. Brownback needs to show that he is new and unigue if he even wants a shot. Brownback has just started up his campaign so look for him to pick up some steam.

6th: George Pataki-He hasn't been mentioned much yet in the campaign but still fairs well in polls. Pataki better start his campaign soon or he will fall behind.

7th: Tommy Thompson-He has officially started up his exploratory committee and has begun a campaign for president. Thompson needs to start working on Iowa. The only way he can win is in Iowa.

8th: Jim Gilmore-He just was swung back into politics after announcing the start of his exploratory committee. Gilmore is expected to take way conservative support from Romney and that could swing him into the top 5 and in striking distance of the nomination.

9th: Chuck Hagel-He still hasn't stated whether he will run and he likely wont for a while. This seems to be hurting him, because the media doesn't even mention him. He better start soon or risk falling behind.

10th: Mike Huckabee-Huckabee hasn't done much except start a PAC and might nto even run for president. He could decide to steal Sen. Pryor's seat in the senat in 2008 instead of running for president.

11th: Duncan Hunter: He just stated he is candidate on Fox News and has started campaigning in Iowa, NH, and South Carolina. Congressman Hunter seems to be a little threat to the frontrunners, but could gain steam later on.

12th: Tom Tancredo: Still doing po0rly because of comments stated and being poorly known. Tancredo probably won't run for president in 2008.

13th: Frank Keating: We put Keating at the ottom, becuase he has just started thinking about a run fir the White House. He might gain some momentum if he runs soon,but he won't gain too much support if he doesn't

Democrats:

1st: Hillary Clinton-Clinton is still doing well in nationwide polls and polls in NH however the first signs of vulernability have appeared. Clinton performs very poorly in the first contest, the Iowa Caucuses. If she loses Iowa it might be enough to kick her out of the frontrunner spot. We all remember 2004 when Kerry knocked Dean out of his leading spot when he won Iowa, so Dean's fate migth become Clinton's.

2nd: Barack Obama-He has started to fall in nationwide polls, but is performing well in Iowa. He ties with Edwards in Iowa and if he wins there he could gain the momentum to win the nomination. Obama still has a very good chance at the White House, and he can delay on deciding, because he is so popular.

3rd: John Edwards-He has never done well in national polls among Democrats, but for the first time one poll showed Edwards actually beating McCain! This brings hope to his campaign. He could use his electablily factor to gain voters from Obama and Clinton. Edwards also does well in Iowa and if he wins there he could actually become the comeback kid of 2008.

4th: Al Gore-still states he wont run in 2008, but the media still throws his name around and includes him in polls. We will continue to watch Gore and still consider him a possible candidate, but he will likely not run again for the White House in 2008.

5th: John Kerry-He has started to climb slowly back up from his fall back in November, but his comment before the election have proabbly killed his chances of being elected again. I don't expect a comeback Kerry in 2008 like in 2004. Kerry might not even run for president.

6th: Joe Biden-He is officially a candidate for president, btu many don't know it. Biden has started to climb in nationwide polls, but does poorly in key states.

7th: Bill Richardson-Richardson is just starting up his campaign and is starting to move up in rankings especially after Bayh's exit from the race. Richardson is starting to campaign so it is helping his run for the white hosue.

8th: Wesley Clark-He is still unsure about running and is doing poorly in Nationwide polls and polls in NH and Iowa. He better revise his 2004 strategy and actually participate in Iowa. He needs the momentum from a good showing there in order to do well all together.

9th: Tom Vilsack-Vilsack performs terrible in nationwide polls and in polls in his homestate which he was governor of. That is sad. If he cant even win his homestate he should just quit. Many thought Vilsack would take away the importance away from Iowa, but it won't happen.

10th: Dennis Kucinich-Congressman Kucinich has decided to try again for the white house even after his poor showing in 2004. Kucinich needs alot of help if he wants to win and he himself states if probably won't win.

11th: Christopher Dodd-He doesn't even get a 1% in any polls and is dead last in all polls he is included in. Kucincih even beats him in polls. Dodd is probably the biggest longshot of all longshots.
Here are some new poll Match ups from Rasmussen Reports
(R)Rudolph Giuliani 47%
(D)Hillary Clinton 43%
(R)Rudolph Giuliani 46%
(D)Al Gore 43%

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