Here are the complete presidential power rankings including almost every candidate for president in 2008 including 3rd parties. We have started adding steady rising or falling to our rankings. To view other power rankings go http://thenextprez.blogspot.com/ and http://politicalderby.com/powerrankings
Republicans:
1st: John McCain (steady) McCain has for the first time in a month, tied with Rudy Giuliani in nationwide GOP prefernce polls and the two are almost dead even in key early primaries and caucuses. What should start to worry McCain is that he is falling in numbers against democratic challengers. At least every serious democratic candidate has defeated McCain or Giuliani in a poll except for Barack Obama.
2nd: Rudy Giuliani (rising) Giuliani still usually tops GOP preference polls and now is leading or in a tie in key early contests against McCain. Giuliani has also started to fall in numbers against dems and now this election is very close. Giuliani is doing about the same against dems as McCain.
3rd: Newt Gingrich (steady) Gingrich leads Romney in every key state and in nationwide polls and now in some key states he is barely trailing McCain and Giuliani. This might not just be a 2-man race, however it is still uncertain whether Gingrich will actually run. Also Gingrich performs poorly against dems do that might hurt him later.
4th: Mitt Romney (fallling) Romney is steadily falling in key states and nationwide polls and in Iowa and New Hampshire he is in the low singe digits. Romney might actually have to think about running if he continues to perform poorly in polls.
5th: Sam Brownback (steady) Brownback recieved a very poor showing in Iowa which is a do or die state for him. he recieved a dsimal 1%. He didn't even recieve 1% in NH or SC. Brownback still however recieves atleast 3-4% in nationwide polls so he holds on to hos top 5 spot.
6th: George Pataki (steady) Pataki recieves poor ratings out of do or die state for him also. Pataki gets about 2% in NH and 3% nationwide. Pataki has risen from being dead last in polls and you may see him gain in numbers to get to 5th.
7th: Chuck Hagel (rising) Hagel has risen two slots since our last rankings. Hagel recieves a very good showing in Iowa with about 6% almost defeating Mitt Romney. He is also rising in nationwide polls. He could get to #4 slot before the end of Janurary.
8th: Tommy Thompson (steady) Thompson needs to get a good showing in Iowa and now he doesn't even have 1%. If Thompson can get a 2nd or close 3rd in Iowa it might raise momentum for him, but for now he performs quite poorly in most polls averaging 1-2% in nationwide polls.
9th: Jim Gilmore (steady)He has not even recieving a 1% in nationwide polls. He did poorly in new early contest polls and his conservative gaining of votes has yet to come in effect. He needs to concentrate on steaing conservatives from Romney.
10th: Mike Huckabee (steady) He still has done much to say he is running for president except start a PAC. He needs to announce soon or get left behind.
11th: Duncan Hunter (steady) Hunter hasn't even received a rating in a key state and is only about 1% nationwide. He has started campaigning finally and that might help get ahead of the competition, but that is very unlikely.
12th: Tom Tancredo (falling) He hasn't even recieved a 1% in any nationwide polls and because of many of his comments he might not even run for president.
13th: Frank Keating (steady) Keating hasn't been mention yet in any polls or discussions and has just started talking about running while others are starting up their campaigns. He probably won't go far if he does run for president.
Democrats:
1st: Hillary Clinton (falling) Clinton has lost some ground in key state polls and in Nationwide polls. Clinton dropped from a near 20 point lead over Obama to a 13 point lead. This is still a great lead, however new Iowa and NH polls show Obama and Edwards within striking distance of defeating Clinton. Research 2000 polls in Iowa show Obama and Edwards doubling Clinton's results and American Research Group polls show Edwards within stirking distance. In NH She barely leads both Obama and Edwards in both polls. She better start campaigning in those states or she will get left in the dust.
2nd: Barack Obama (rising) New nationwide polls show a recent bounce for Obama and new polls in Iowa and NH show Obama leading or barely trailing Clinton. If Barack Obama announces soon he could get a big enough bounce to take the frontrunner slot.
3rd: John Edwards (rising) Edwards is also gaining in polls in key states. He is the favorite to take Iowa away from Clinton according to new polls and with his announcement he could gain enough steam to lock away Iowa. If he does win there it could give him the momentum to win the rest of the early contests and lock up the nomination. Its a whole new ball game with these new polls.
4th: Al Gore (falling) New polls show Gore recieving single digits in both Iowa and NH. His sterring away from the 08 race have really hurt his chances so look for him not to run for president in 2008.
5th: John Kerry (falling) Kerry also recieves low single digit ratings naitonwide and in Iowa and NH. Kerry easily won both states in 2004 and many thought taht would help him, but it hasn't. Kerry is still considering a run with these poor numbers.
6th: Joe Biden (steady) Biden hasn't changed his position in polls much and is recieving about the smae numbers in key states. He averages about 2% so he probably won't go far.
7th: Wesley Clark (rising) Clark has moved up in positions with gains nationwide and in NH and Nevada. If Clark can get a good showing In NH and win Nevada he could have something to say in this election instead of being an also ran.
8th: Bill Richardson (steady) Richardson hasn't done too much campaigning and that has hurt him a bit. He could just be an also ran if he doesn't kick it in gear.
9th: Dennis Kucinich (steady) New polls show Kucinich doing pretty good for him considering he averaged 1% last time around. Kucinich could help steal votes from Clinton and Obama and if Edwards and him make the same deal like in 2004 in Iowa that could help Edwards carry Iowa.
10th: Tom Vilsack (falling) New polls show Vilsack in 3rd or 4th in his homestate of Iowa. These are not good numbers for him. If he loses Iowa his campaign will be over before it started.
11th: Chris Dodd (steady) Dodd still recieves a last place rating in most polls and has taken away his decision on officially running for president he announced earlier this year says he is still considering.
New Gallup Polls
Democrats
(D)Hillary Clinton 33%
(D)Barack Obama 20%
(D)Al Gore 12%
(D)John Edwards 8%
(D)John Kerry 6%
(D)Joe Biden 3%
(D)Wesley Clark 2%
(D)Bill Richardson 2%
(D)Evan Bayh 1%
(D)Tom Vilsack 1%
(D)Chirs Dodd 1%
(D)Dennis Kucinich-%
Republicans
(R)John McCain 28%
(R)Rudolph Giuliani 28%
(R)Condi Rice 12%
(R)Newt Gingrich 8%
(R)Mitt Romney 4%
(R)Mike Huckabee 2%
(R)Sam Brownback 2%
(R)George Allen 2%
(R)Tommy Thompson 2%
(R)Chuck Hagel 1%
(R)George Pataki 1%
(R)Duncan Hunter 1%
Libertarians:
1st: George Phillies (rising) Phillies is already leading the libertarian pack in fund raising and in internet grassroots support. He finally has taken the lead from Steve Kubby.
2nd: Steve Kubby (rising) Kubby still is doing very well and could very well win the Libertarina nomination. He does have strong support from the internet and that doens't come and go like Phillies. Kubby also is known better nationwide by the party while Phillies is more local.
3rd: Christine Smith (steady) Smith is campaigning hard and would like to show off her debating skills against Phillies and Kubby to actually pick up some steam.
4th: Michael Badnerik (steady) It is stilll uncertain whether Badnerik will want to run again after his poor 4% showing in his congressional run after raising over $200,000. It is clear Badnerik can raise the money and would like get the nomination if he ran, but because he hasn't announced yet we will put him at #4.
5th: Robert Milnes (steady) hasn't done too much campaiging and will not likely keep thsi spot.
Also running: Party Activist Lance Brown, Frequent Candidate and Party Chair Jim Burns, Bus driver Dave Hollist, and Comedian Doug Stanhope. These candidates haven't shown too much interest.
Green Party:
1st: Pat LaMarche (steady) LaMarche was the VP candidate in 2004 and recieved 10% of the vote in her gubernatorial run so that gives her some strength, but still hasn't announced.
2nd:Cynthia McKinney (steady) McKinney hasn't mentioned a run for the presidency yet, but if she does she could possibly recieve it since she was held public office as a U.S. Congressman. She may not run and try to regain her seat in congress though.
3rd: Rebecca Rotzler (steady) Rotzler is party activist and could do something, but hasn't said anythign about running and is more of a draft candidate.
Also could run: Frequent Candidate Medea Benjamin, Attorney Nan Garret, and State Party Chair Kat Swift.
Constituition:
1st: Jim Gilchrist (steady) He hasn't announced yet and isn't committed, but is so far leading the small pack in this small party
2nd: Michael Peroutka (steady) He also hasn't become committed and some mention he won't run. he was the '04 nominee and that could help if he should decide to run.
3rd: Alan Keyes (steady) Keyes has ran for some many offices as a republican including so many presidential runs he probably won't run for president for this small party.
4th: Chuck Baldwin (steady) being a pastor and a Radio show host could help him should he decide to run. Also he was the 2004 VP nominee so that could also help him.
5th: Jim Clymer (steady) Clymer is very unknown and if he does run he better really brodcast his name alot.
6th: Jerome Corsi (steady) We really don't have too much info. on this candidate so we wont state anything about her chances.
Republicans:
1st: John McCain (steady) McCain has for the first time in a month, tied with Rudy Giuliani in nationwide GOP prefernce polls and the two are almost dead even in key early primaries and caucuses. What should start to worry McCain is that he is falling in numbers against democratic challengers. At least every serious democratic candidate has defeated McCain or Giuliani in a poll except for Barack Obama.
2nd: Rudy Giuliani (rising) Giuliani still usually tops GOP preference polls and now is leading or in a tie in key early contests against McCain. Giuliani has also started to fall in numbers against dems and now this election is very close. Giuliani is doing about the same against dems as McCain.
3rd: Newt Gingrich (steady) Gingrich leads Romney in every key state and in nationwide polls and now in some key states he is barely trailing McCain and Giuliani. This might not just be a 2-man race, however it is still uncertain whether Gingrich will actually run. Also Gingrich performs poorly against dems do that might hurt him later.
4th: Mitt Romney (fallling) Romney is steadily falling in key states and nationwide polls and in Iowa and New Hampshire he is in the low singe digits. Romney might actually have to think about running if he continues to perform poorly in polls.
5th: Sam Brownback (steady) Brownback recieved a very poor showing in Iowa which is a do or die state for him. he recieved a dsimal 1%. He didn't even recieve 1% in NH or SC. Brownback still however recieves atleast 3-4% in nationwide polls so he holds on to hos top 5 spot.
6th: George Pataki (steady) Pataki recieves poor ratings out of do or die state for him also. Pataki gets about 2% in NH and 3% nationwide. Pataki has risen from being dead last in polls and you may see him gain in numbers to get to 5th.
7th: Chuck Hagel (rising) Hagel has risen two slots since our last rankings. Hagel recieves a very good showing in Iowa with about 6% almost defeating Mitt Romney. He is also rising in nationwide polls. He could get to #4 slot before the end of Janurary.
8th: Tommy Thompson (steady) Thompson needs to get a good showing in Iowa and now he doesn't even have 1%. If Thompson can get a 2nd or close 3rd in Iowa it might raise momentum for him, but for now he performs quite poorly in most polls averaging 1-2% in nationwide polls.
9th: Jim Gilmore (steady)He has not even recieving a 1% in nationwide polls. He did poorly in new early contest polls and his conservative gaining of votes has yet to come in effect. He needs to concentrate on steaing conservatives from Romney.
10th: Mike Huckabee (steady) He still has done much to say he is running for president except start a PAC. He needs to announce soon or get left behind.
11th: Duncan Hunter (steady) Hunter hasn't even received a rating in a key state and is only about 1% nationwide. He has started campaigning finally and that might help get ahead of the competition, but that is very unlikely.
12th: Tom Tancredo (falling) He hasn't even recieved a 1% in any nationwide polls and because of many of his comments he might not even run for president.
13th: Frank Keating (steady) Keating hasn't been mention yet in any polls or discussions and has just started talking about running while others are starting up their campaigns. He probably won't go far if he does run for president.
Democrats:
1st: Hillary Clinton (falling) Clinton has lost some ground in key state polls and in Nationwide polls. Clinton dropped from a near 20 point lead over Obama to a 13 point lead. This is still a great lead, however new Iowa and NH polls show Obama and Edwards within striking distance of defeating Clinton. Research 2000 polls in Iowa show Obama and Edwards doubling Clinton's results and American Research Group polls show Edwards within stirking distance. In NH She barely leads both Obama and Edwards in both polls. She better start campaigning in those states or she will get left in the dust.
2nd: Barack Obama (rising) New nationwide polls show a recent bounce for Obama and new polls in Iowa and NH show Obama leading or barely trailing Clinton. If Barack Obama announces soon he could get a big enough bounce to take the frontrunner slot.
3rd: John Edwards (rising) Edwards is also gaining in polls in key states. He is the favorite to take Iowa away from Clinton according to new polls and with his announcement he could gain enough steam to lock away Iowa. If he does win there it could give him the momentum to win the rest of the early contests and lock up the nomination. Its a whole new ball game with these new polls.
4th: Al Gore (falling) New polls show Gore recieving single digits in both Iowa and NH. His sterring away from the 08 race have really hurt his chances so look for him not to run for president in 2008.
5th: John Kerry (falling) Kerry also recieves low single digit ratings naitonwide and in Iowa and NH. Kerry easily won both states in 2004 and many thought taht would help him, but it hasn't. Kerry is still considering a run with these poor numbers.
6th: Joe Biden (steady) Biden hasn't changed his position in polls much and is recieving about the smae numbers in key states. He averages about 2% so he probably won't go far.
7th: Wesley Clark (rising) Clark has moved up in positions with gains nationwide and in NH and Nevada. If Clark can get a good showing In NH and win Nevada he could have something to say in this election instead of being an also ran.
8th: Bill Richardson (steady) Richardson hasn't done too much campaigning and that has hurt him a bit. He could just be an also ran if he doesn't kick it in gear.
9th: Dennis Kucinich (steady) New polls show Kucinich doing pretty good for him considering he averaged 1% last time around. Kucinich could help steal votes from Clinton and Obama and if Edwards and him make the same deal like in 2004 in Iowa that could help Edwards carry Iowa.
10th: Tom Vilsack (falling) New polls show Vilsack in 3rd or 4th in his homestate of Iowa. These are not good numbers for him. If he loses Iowa his campaign will be over before it started.
11th: Chris Dodd (steady) Dodd still recieves a last place rating in most polls and has taken away his decision on officially running for president he announced earlier this year says he is still considering.
New Gallup Polls
Democrats
(D)Hillary Clinton 33%
(D)Barack Obama 20%
(D)Al Gore 12%
(D)John Edwards 8%
(D)John Kerry 6%
(D)Joe Biden 3%
(D)Wesley Clark 2%
(D)Bill Richardson 2%
(D)Evan Bayh 1%
(D)Tom Vilsack 1%
(D)Chirs Dodd 1%
(D)Dennis Kucinich-%
Republicans
(R)John McCain 28%
(R)Rudolph Giuliani 28%
(R)Condi Rice 12%
(R)Newt Gingrich 8%
(R)Mitt Romney 4%
(R)Mike Huckabee 2%
(R)Sam Brownback 2%
(R)George Allen 2%
(R)Tommy Thompson 2%
(R)Chuck Hagel 1%
(R)George Pataki 1%
(R)Duncan Hunter 1%
Libertarians:
1st: George Phillies (rising) Phillies is already leading the libertarian pack in fund raising and in internet grassroots support. He finally has taken the lead from Steve Kubby.
2nd: Steve Kubby (rising) Kubby still is doing very well and could very well win the Libertarina nomination. He does have strong support from the internet and that doens't come and go like Phillies. Kubby also is known better nationwide by the party while Phillies is more local.
3rd: Christine Smith (steady) Smith is campaigning hard and would like to show off her debating skills against Phillies and Kubby to actually pick up some steam.
4th: Michael Badnerik (steady) It is stilll uncertain whether Badnerik will want to run again after his poor 4% showing in his congressional run after raising over $200,000. It is clear Badnerik can raise the money and would like get the nomination if he ran, but because he hasn't announced yet we will put him at #4.
5th: Robert Milnes (steady) hasn't done too much campaiging and will not likely keep thsi spot.
Also running: Party Activist Lance Brown, Frequent Candidate and Party Chair Jim Burns, Bus driver Dave Hollist, and Comedian Doug Stanhope. These candidates haven't shown too much interest.
Green Party:
1st: Pat LaMarche (steady) LaMarche was the VP candidate in 2004 and recieved 10% of the vote in her gubernatorial run so that gives her some strength, but still hasn't announced.
2nd:Cynthia McKinney (steady) McKinney hasn't mentioned a run for the presidency yet, but if she does she could possibly recieve it since she was held public office as a U.S. Congressman. She may not run and try to regain her seat in congress though.
3rd: Rebecca Rotzler (steady) Rotzler is party activist and could do something, but hasn't said anythign about running and is more of a draft candidate.
Also could run: Frequent Candidate Medea Benjamin, Attorney Nan Garret, and State Party Chair Kat Swift.
Constituition:
1st: Jim Gilchrist (steady) He hasn't announced yet and isn't committed, but is so far leading the small pack in this small party
2nd: Michael Peroutka (steady) He also hasn't become committed and some mention he won't run. he was the '04 nominee and that could help if he should decide to run.
3rd: Alan Keyes (steady) Keyes has ran for some many offices as a republican including so many presidential runs he probably won't run for president for this small party.
4th: Chuck Baldwin (steady) being a pastor and a Radio show host could help him should he decide to run. Also he was the 2004 VP nominee so that could also help him.
5th: Jim Clymer (steady) Clymer is very unknown and if he does run he better really brodcast his name alot.
6th: Jerome Corsi (steady) We really don't have too much info. on this candidate so we wont state anything about her chances.
Prohibition: 2004 nominee Gene Amondson has this small party's nomination locked up since he will likely be the only candidate.
Independents and Write-In Candidates
Strong possible candidates:
(R)Michael Bloomberg: New York City Mayor 8 years (declined)
(Reform/I)Jesse Ventura: Fmr. Minnesota State Governor 4 years
Unity08 has yet to name a candidate, but does promise a 50 state ballot access which could really help a strong independent like Ventura and Bloomberg.
The Strongest Write-Ins
(I)Steve Adams
(I)Bob Hargis
(I)Dan Imperato
(I)Cris Ericson
(I)Rick Williams
(I)Ben Thompson
(I)"Average Joe" Schriner
The rest of the canidates are too minor to exam.
2 comments:
Hi!
Thank you for mentioning me with the write-in candidates!
Please visit my website which is now a web blog changing daily with priorites fluctating wildly
Cris Ericson
I am looking for that winning lottery ticket!
The FEC
FEC has ruled that candidates may receive shares of stock
as campaign contributions
even though the value
of the shares of stock
goes up and down
before being cashed in.
The FEC has not
made any ruling
on the receipt of
lottery tickets
as campaign contributions,
even though the value
would start at the purchase price,
then possibly go down to nothing, or go up.
Please send me lottery tickets as campaign contributions,
the FEC rules seem to say that they can't make a ruling on a hypothetical case,
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Thank you for being kind enough to comment on my site Mrs. Ericson. good luck too you!
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