Thursday, February 22, 2007

Decision 2008: Democrats meet in Nevada and other news


Yesterday every announced Democratic Presidential Candidate in 2008 met in Nevada except for Illionis U.S. Senator Barack Obama who felt it was too early to hold a forum or debate. They discussed everything from Iraq to Healthcare. We have yet to rate the overall "winner" of the forum, because we haven't fully accessed Sen. Edwards and Sen. Clinton.

According to new IA polls Edwards lead is slipping, and Giuliani's lead is strengthening. McCain and Clinton's lead in NH are slipping one poll shows Giuliani and Obama ahead in NH.The frontrunners could be dethrowned. New national and NH polls show Romney having an average of a bout 13% which is an all time high only 10 points behind McCain and Giuliani and Edwards and Obama are strating to lead in key early states. Florida could wind up dethrowning South Carolina's importance in 2008 if its primary gets scheduled on the day. Polls have yet to come out of Florida except for General Election polls so it is open territory, but this could be a strength for McCain with his strength in the south like South Carolina.

Independent/Write-In Presidential candidates such as Bob Hargis have started to work for Unity'08's nomination for president and with it a promised 50 state ballot access which could really help a independent perform better overall. The chances of an Independent getting elected are about 1 out of 1-10,000. The only to possible candidates that could actuallt get over 5% is Fmr. Minnesota Governor Jesse Ventura, and New York City Mayor Michael Bloomberg. Bloomberg has been offered a chance to seek Unity'08's nomination, however he has yet to mention a run as an independent, but he has turned down a GOP run. Ventura says he hasn't ruled out 2008 yet. Ralph Nader has stated he is considering running for president again. He has yet stated whether he will seek the presidency as a Reform candidate, Green Candidate, or just an Independent.

Independent Power Rankings

1st: Michael Bloomberg (steady) Bloomberg isn't likely to run, but wiht Unity'08's support and other 3rd party support Bloomberg could go far.

2nd: Jesse Ventura (steady) Ventura has dropped out of the spotlight lately, but since Kinky Friedman's strong showing in Texas, Ventura could be a strong candidate.

3rd: Ralph Nader (steady) Nader has been toying with the idea of running again, but it is unlikely he will get his near 2,000,000 votes back in 2000.

4th: Bob Hargis (steady) If Bloomberg and Ventura do not run and he gets Unity'08's support he good rank among usual 3rd party candidates.

5th: Steve Adams (steady) Adams a local pastor and small businessman has strong support on the internet.

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