Friday, May 04, 2007

Decision 2008: Presidential Candidate Power Rankings #20.


Here are our end of the month presidential power rankings. Sorry about no getting these to you last week, but because of the work I had I was too busy to post them.

Republicans

Tied 1st: John McCain (rising) Back on top again in Iowa, NH, and South Carolina Polls according to ARG polls. McCain also takes back the lead with his strong performance last night at the debate. New national polls show McCain gaining there as well. I think this one man show has turned back into a two man show and soon to be four.

Tied 1st: Rudolph Giuliani (falling) He falls to 2nd and 3rd in NH, IA, and SC and his nationwide lead has slipped 20 points with a month! He is now within striking distance of being replaced as the frontrunner. Rudy better watch out McCain, Thompson and even Romney are coming on strong.

3rd: Fred Thompson (rising) Thompson remains in 10%-17% in polls and he hasn't even campaigned yet. Imagine how much he could shake up the field if the Thompson machine takes off and he actually runs.

4th: Mitt Romney (rising) New Polls in New Hampshire show Romney tied or barely trailing McCain and his strong perfromace last night could be seen as a poll booster.

5th: Newt Gingrich (steady) His double digit numbers are gone but he could still be a serious threat if he decided to run.

6th: Mike Huckabee (steady) Huckabee showed one of the strongest peformances last night at the debate among 2nd teir candidates. Could he move into the frontrunners tier?

7th: Tommy Thompson (steady) Thompson has moved to become one of the leading candidates among the 2nd tier, but other than that he remains in this postion or lower.

8th: Chuck Hagel (steady) Rumors are about that Hagel wont seek the GOP nomination and that he will run on the Unity'08 ticket. Hagel has yet to state whether or not he will run or not.

9th: Sam Brownback (falling) Brownback had fallen from the top 5 to near the end of the top 10. His campaign is slowly diminishing.

10th: Jim Gilmore (steady) Gilmore hasn't changed much. He claims he is the ultra-conservative of the 10 announced candidates and some say that may put him in this race.

11th: Duncan Hunter (steady) Hunter also performed well in the debate, but he remains near the bottom in most polls and no one really knows who he is.

12th: Tom Tancredo (falling) Tancredo had the worst performance besides Giuliani at the debate and he poorly comes off well to voters with his immigration views. I think he will remain at this spot.

13th: Ron Paul (steady) Paul remains dead last, but he still thinks he will be the next president. I think some one needs to give him a hint. Run as a libertarian thats the only way you will get on the ballot in November!

Democrats

1st: Hillary Clinton (falling) We still have to rate Clinton as the frontrunner since she leads nationally and leads in most key states, however Obama is gaining like wildfire day by day. We could see another at the top of this lost by next month.

2nd: Barack Obama (rising) Obama for the first time ever beat Hillary Clinton, the once presumed nominee in one poll. Rasmussen finds Obama leading Hillary. Obama also has great fundraising base and can really gain a crowd. I wouldn't be surprised if he look the lead in NH and SC within a week or so. Iowa remains Edwards territory though.

3rd: John Edwards (steady) Edwards remains in the lead in Iowa and not to far behind in NH. In SC he is tied with Hillary. Could a strong showing in these states win him the nomination? Edwards seems to be proving many wrong when he continues to lead in Iowa. A win there for Kerry gave him the nomination in 2004 and could give his running mate the same luck.

4th: Joe Biden (steady) Biden has seemed to become the leader of the 2nd tier caniddates as Richardson falters. His once dead campaign might revive.

5th: Bill Richardson (falling) Richardson continues to fall in polls as Biden surpasses him. His poor performance in last weeks debate may also hurt his campaign.

6th: Wesley Clark (falling) Clark doesn't look like he will run anymore so we will continue to rate him down, even though he still has fair poll numbers.

7th: Dennis Kucinich (steady) Remains in his same postion as last month. Kucinich might do better than his 1-2% average in 2004 since he leads most 2nd to 3rd tier candidates.

8th: Christopher Dodd (steady) Dodd did perform well in last week's debate, but that wont be enough to revive his dead from the start campaign.

9th: Mike Gravel (rising) His comic releif act last week won him enough attention to get noticed. Gravel may make it to the 2nd tier.

10th: Al Sharpton (falling) Doubtful that he will even run and no one puts him in polls so we may remove him along with clark next month from our ratings.

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