Sunday, November 04, 2007

Decision 2007: Election Day Preview


Tuesday is Election Day, but not too many will pay attention to the off-year elections happening then. 2 states, Kentucky and Mississippi will hold statewide elections for Governor and several other statewide positions, while Mayoral Elections will be held in San Francisco, Philadelphia, and Houston.


Kentucky Governor's Race

What was expected to be a competitive race earlier this year appears to be looking like a landslide. According to the most recent WHAS-TV/SurveyUSA poll Governor Ernie Fletcher (R) appears to be trailing to Former Lt. Governor Steve Beshear (D) 60%-36%. A landslide. Not good numbers coming into the final week of the campaign. Filled with scandal and a weak re-election campaign look for Fletcher to become the Democrat's first victim since 2006.

Our Prediction: Strong Democratic Pick-Up (20%+)

Mississippi Governor's Race

Democratic Attorney John A. Eaves Jr. challenges popular Republican Governor Haley Barbour. Barbour was considered a possible presidential candidate until he denied interest early last year so he could focus on running for re-election. Eaves hasn't put up a strong enough challenge and the onyl few polls taken show a strong Republican Victory. If Barbour does succeed on Tuesday he will definately become a possible VP pick for 2008.

Our Prediction: Strong Republican Hold (20%+)

San Francisco's Mayoral Race

Incumbent Mayor Gavin Newsom should cruise to a landslide victory with no strong opponent and 13 unknown challengers. Newsom's approval of Gay Marriage acts has remained popular so watch for the Democrat to win the race.

Our Predicition: Strong Democratic Hold (40%+)

Philadelphia's Mayoral Race

In a extremely Democratic city, City Councilman Michael Nutter (D) is expected to crush Freguent Candidate Al Taubenberger. Nutter is Incumbent Mayor John Street's selected successor.

Our Prediction: Strong Democratic Hold (70%+)

Houston's Mayoral Race

Mayor Bill White has no competition. The only concern is what will the 3-Term Mayor do in 2008 or '10 since he is term-limited in 2009. Look for White to win the Mayoral Primary by a wide margin, and likely run for Governor in 2010, challenging either Governor Rick Perry or Sen. Kay Hutchison.

Our Prediction: Strong Democratic Hold (50%+)


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