Saturday, September 02, 2006

Pennsylvania U.S. Senate Race

Senator Rick Santourm is up for reelection. He faces tough competition. Santorum has faced tough times of unpopularity and low poll numbers.

The Candidates
(R)Rick Santorum, U.S. Senator 1995-Present, U.S. House of Representitives 1991-1995, Senate Conference Chairman (3rd ranking Republican)

(D)Robert (Bob) Casey Jr., Pennsylvania State Treasurer 2005-Present, Pennsylvania State Auditor General 1997-2005, Son of fmr. Gov. Robert Casey

(G)Carl Romanelli, State Party Chairman, Retired Family Court Official

Santorum has suffered poor political numbers against Casey for sometime, but now he has recieved a great boost in support. he used to be rated the worst senator with the lowest approval rating, but according to the last SurveyUSA poll his approval has jumped almost ten points. He is also trailing Casey by 8 points when early this year he was trailing by douple digits. Next Week the two will meet on NBC's Meet the Press to debate the issues. Casey has critized Santorum's poor voting record for sometime and this will give him a chance to respond. Santorum has suffered from attack after attack from the state dems but out of nowhere big democratic Governor Ed Rendell endorsed him for reelection. Rendell must be the biggest democrat in the state and he has shown he is not all partisan politics. This endorsement might give Santorum a boost among democratic voters. So far Casey has been the front runner for sometime but after this endorsement and the debate Santorum just might turn this thing around. Also with Romanelli the Green Party hopeful taking votes away from Casey that might also give Santorum a boost as well. But it is in my opinion that he needs to tie or gain the lead if he wants to win this thing in November.

My Prediction
(R)Santorum 48%
(D)Casey 47%
(G)Romanelli 4%
Other 1%

Actual Polls
(Rasmussen Reports)
(D)Casey 48%
(R)Santorum 40%
(G)Romanelli 5%

Quinnipaic University)
(D)Santorum 48%
(R)Casey 42%
(G)Romanelli 5%

SurveyUSA Approval Rating for Sen. Santorum
Approve 48% Disapprove 45% (up ten points!)

This will most likely be one of the closest race in the Senate this year with the exception of the Missouri race.

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