Saturday, September 02, 2006

President 2008 Update


Alot of specluation has accured in the political world about who is running. Here is my list of for sure candidates.

The Republicans
U.S. Sen. George Allen
U.S. Sen. Sam Brownback(Annouced intention)
Fmr. U.S. House Speaker Newt Gingrich
U.S. Sen. Majority Leader Bill Frist
U.S. Sen. Chuck Hagel
U.S. Sen. John McCain(Putting togehter a team)
NY Governor George Pataki
MA Governor Mitt Romney

The Democrats
U.S. Sen. Evan Bayh
U.S. Sen. Joe Biden(Annouced Intention)
Fmr. Army General Wes Clark
U.S. Sen. Hillary Clinton
U.S. Sen. Chris Dodd(Annouced Intention)
Fmr. U.S. Sen. John Edwards
U.S. Sen. Russ Feingold
Fmr. U.S Sen. Mike Gravel(Annouced Candidate)
U.S. Sen. John Kerry
Rep. Dennis Kucinich
IA Governor Tom Vilsack
Fmr. VA Governor Mark Warner

Likely Candidates
Fmr. Vice President Al Gore

Right now this presidential race will be on of the closest and most interesting races since the 2000 election. My Predictions that the GOP fight will be between McCain and Romney with a formable performance by Newt Gingrich. I don't think fmr. NY City Mayor Rudy Giuliani will run and if he does I dont think he will go far. He might get a great early start but will fade out. McCain will win most of the early contests and Romney will pick up very few. Gingrich will put a good fight in NH but will drop out shortly after. Finally after Super tuesday with a loss of funding Romney willl drop out with McCain as the victor. Romney willl be selected as his VP running mate. On the Democratic side I think if Hillary Clinton runs it will come down between her Mark Warner, John Edwards, and Fmr. VP Al Gore (if he runs). I think Warner and Edwards will fade out after Iowa and the early contests but I think Edwards will win in Iowa. Al Gore will get a good showing in the first few primaries like New Hampshire but Hillary Clinton will win NH. Edwards will win his S. Carolina and get a good showin gin a few more primaries but look for him to drop out after Super tuesday. That will leave a Gore-Hillary fight till the convention when Al Gore will barily win the Nomination when the dems finally realize America will not vote in a woman. He will pick Mark Warner as his VP running mate. The fight between McCain and Gore will be close at first but after the debates and McCain trounces Gore McCain will get a good bounce. He will win by a good margin in November maybe 303-235 and the popular vote 53%-46% McCain 1% other. That is my wacky prediction for the race but it is way too early to make an accurate prediction. The candidates above have already been making early trips to Iowa and NH. The race will start to pick up after the 2006 midterm elections. I see alot of candidates annoucing in late 2006 early 2007. Until then we will have to wait and see.

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