Friday, November 17, 2006

2008 Presidential Preview for the Week


As of now here are the major party candidates that have announced Presidential Candidacies, explorartory committees or have stated that they will be running the next few weeks.

Democrats
U.S. Senator Joseph Biden (D) Delaware (announced)
U.S. Senator Christopher Dodd (D) Connecticut (filed paper work)
Fmr. U.S. Senator John Edwards (D) N. Carolina (announced intention)
Fmr. U.S. Senator Mike Gravel (D) Alaska (announced)
Iowa Governor Tom Vilsack (D) Iowa (announced)

Republicans
U.S. Senator John McCain (R) Arizona (exploratory committee)
Congressman Duncan Hunter (R) California (exploratory committee)
Fmr. Wisconsin Governor Tommy Thompson (R) Wisconsin (exploratory committee)
Fmr New York City Mayor Rudolph Giuliani (R) New York (exploratory committee)

Possible Presidential Contenders in 2008

Democarts
U.S. Senator Evan Bayh (D) Indiana
Fmr. Army General Wesley Clark (D) Tennessee
U.S. Senator Hillary Clinton (D) New York
U.S. Senator John Kerry (D) Massachusetts
U.S. Congressman Dennis Kucinich (D) Ohio
U.S. Senator Barack Obama (D) Illionis
New Mexico Governor Bill Richardson (D) New Mexico
Fmr. U.S. Vice President Al Gore (D) Tennessee

Republicans
U.S. Senator Georeg Allen (R) Virginia (probably not running)
U.S. Senator Sam Brownback (R) Kansas
U.S. Senate Majority Leader Bill Frist (R) Tennessee
Fmr. U.S. House Speaker Newt Gingrich (R) Georgia
U.S. Senator Chuck Hagel (R) Nebaraska
New York Governor George Pataki (R) New York
Mass. Governor Mitt Romney (R) Massachusetts
U.S. Congressman Tom Tancredo (R) Colorado

Not Running for President in 2008

Democrats
DNC Chairman Howard Dean (D) Vermont
U.S. Senator Russ Feingold (D) Wisconsin
Penn. Governor Ed Rendell (D) Pennsylvania
Fmr. Virginia Governor Mark Warner (D) Virginia

Republicans
Mississippi Governor Haley Barbour (R) Mississippi
Florida Governor Jeb Bush (R) Florida
U.S. Vice President Dick Cheney (R) Wyoming
Colorado Governor Bill Owens (R) Colorado
Minnesota Governor Tim Pawlenty (R) Minnesota
S. Carolina Governor Mark Sanford (R) S. Carolina
U.S. Senator Rick Santorum (R) Pennsylvania
(Allen likely to be added after last Tuesday's defeat)\

Here are my first Predictions for 2008
GOP Presidential Nominee: John McCain
GOP Vice Presidential Nominee: Mitt Romney

Dem. Presidential Nominee: N/A I have no Idea
Dem. Vice Presidential Nominee: N/A I have no Idea

Here are my TOP 5 current list in both parties for this week

Democrats

1st. (D)Hillary Clinton, Currently at the top of most polling if she runs she will probably get the Democratic Nomination for President. She is also up from big reelection win last week. It is obvious that she is the one to beat.

2nd. (D)Barack Obama, Still popular from his announcement that he was considering a run he is second in polls to Clinton and if Gore doesn't run he will most likely be Hillary's main opponent.

3rd. (D)John Edwards, Still popular from 04 he right now stands in the top 4 or 5 in most polling and some show him in third. Edwards will be the alternative to Hillary if Obama and Gore do not run.

4th. (D)Evan Bayh, He Barely recieved a bounce from Warner's exit from the race, he might get a surge with Feingold leaving the race.

5th. (D)Al Gore, Still throwing around the idea of a run in 2008, I put Gore in 5th. If he runs I feel he will surge ahead of Obama and Edwards and he will be the alternaitve to Hillary.

Republicans

1st. (Tied) John McCain, He is getting better numbers and is finally ahead of Giuliani in one poll. He will likely get a surge upon his announcement. McCain might also get a boost since he formed his exploratory committee.

1st. (Tied) Rudolph Giuliani, Giuliani is still in the top two with McCain in polls and has just announced his exploratory committee. I expect this rising star to die down with his liberal views during the campaign and will quit after Iowa and New Hampshire.

2nd. Newt Gingrich, He has stolen this spot from Romney, I feel he is rising and will announce his run shortly. He will likely be tied with Romney as the alternative for McCain and Giuliani.

3rd. Mitt Romney, He has lost some serious ground and is not even double digits in all polls. Romney will rise once he starts saying he will run, but will die out right after Giuliani. I think he is a likely contender for the V.P. slot.

4th Bill Frist, He is staying the same in polls and will likely not go anywhere if he runs. He is though usually in the top 5 in most polls.

5th George Pataki, He is lucky he is even on this list with the Tie between Giuliani and McCain and has stolen George Allen's spot since he lsot his reelection bid. Look for him to die out quickly.

Here is some new Polls from Polling Report.

General Election Polls
(R)John McCain 45%
(D)Hillary Clinton 40%

(R)John McCain 42%
(D)John Edwards 35%

(R)John McCain 39%
(D)Barack Obama 35%

Democratic Poll
(D)Hillary Clinton 39%
(D)Barack Obama 23%
(D)John Edwards 10%
(D)Al Gore 10%
(D)John Kerry 7%
(D)Joe Biden 2%
(D)Bill Richardson 1%
(D)Russ Feingold 1%
None 3%
Unsure 4%

GOP Polls
(R)Rudy Giuliani 27%
(R)John McCain 26%
(R)Condi Rice 20%
(R)Mitt Romney 7%
(R)New Gingrich 6%
(R)Bill Frist 4%
(R)Sam Brownback 1%
Other 1%
None 2%
Unsure 6%

Thats it for Today!

1 comment:

Anonymous said...

I'm voting for Dennis Kucinich in 2008. He is the only candidate who can save America from the disaster of the Bush years. He is also the only Democrat the independents will trust.