As of now here are the Politics-Central Presidential Contenders standings and the list of current candidates running.
Republican Candidates who have stated they will run or are likely to announce in a month or have filed for a exploratory committee.
(R)Arizona U.S. Senator John McCain (Exploratory Committee)
(R)Fmr. New York City Mayor Rudy Giuliani (Exploratory Committee)
(R)Fmr. Wisconsin Governor Tommy Thompson (Exploratory Committee) (R)California U.S. Congressman Duncan Hunter (Exploratory Committee)
(R)Kansas U.S. Senator Sam Brownback (To Announce Intention)
Evan Bayh has announced he will form a Presidential Exploratory Committee. You all should know him as the Politics-Central Dem. Presidential Poll winner and representative of the Democrats in our General Election Poll. He is the current front runner to become Politic-Central's President of the United States.
Democratic Candidates who have stated that they will run, announced, will announce soon or have filed for a exploratory committee.
(D)Delaware U.S. Senator Joe Biden (Announced)
(D)Conn. U.S. Senator Christopher Dodd (Announced)
(D)Iowa State Governor Tom Vilsack (Announced)
(D)Fmr. Alaskan U.S. Senator Mike Gravel (Announced)
(D)Fmr. N. Carolina U.S. Senator John Edwards (To Announce)
(D)Indiana U.S. Senator Evan Bayh
Here are my Complete Ratings for All of the Possible Contenders
Republicans
1st: John McCain, I believe Senator McCain has recieved a boost in polls and has almost caught up to Giuliani in GOP polls. He recieves far better numbers in General Election Poll Match-Ups with Democrats giving him our #1 slot in the GOP. Look for his numbers to continue to grow as the campaign continues and upon his official announcement. Also McCain defeats Giuliani in the all important New Hampshire Primary by double digits.
2nd: Rudolph Giuliani, recieves better numbers among the GOP, but stumps to McCain in nationwide polls. His liberal views have will also cause so lack of support. I still view Giuliani's popularity will drop. Like I said Giuliani also trails McCain in New Hampshire.
3rd: Mitt Romney, Romney recieves very poor nationwide polls and come in a distant third in GOP Polls including NH. Romney is still deciding, but I think he isn't going to do well if he doe decide to win and look for one of the other candidates to replace him in this third place spot. Right now he is the alternative to McCain and Giuliani. Romney might gain support with Frist's withdrawal.
4th: Newt Gingrich, rising in support and should take Romney's slot soon. He also has poor numbers to front runners Giuliani and McCain and he mignt not even run if McCain and Giuliani run and there is a 90% chance they will so I don't look for Gingrich to run. He might toy with the idea since he is in 4th and 3rd places in polls, but will ultimately decide not to run. He might also gain with Frist's withdrawal
5th: Sam Brownback, will announce here soon and is gaining in numbers, but should fall with Tommy Thompson's entrance into the race. Look for Brownback to fall apart in the campaign and not go far. Brownback will also likely gain the most momentum with Frist's withdrawal.
6th: Tommy Thompson, With his entrance into the race he has stirred some momentum, but he will likely lose this support with Frist's withdrwal and look for that to hurt his campaign.
7th: Mike Huckabee, Not even mentioned in most polling and hasn't been heard from in much of the early campaigning season. Huckabee might get boost in southern states with Frist gone, but most look like they will benefit from Frist's withdrwal.
8th: Chuck Hagel, also hasn't been heard from, but has said he will be making a decidon soon.
9th: Duncan Hunter, His announcement surprised many since no none one has heard of him, but he is recieving some numbers.
10th: Tom Tancredo, has come under alot of fire for his Florida 3rd world comment and that has really hurt his standings.
11th: George Pataki, dead last in most polls I don't think Pataki should even try.
12th: Jim Gilmore, still questioning a possible he will not likely run so I put him dead last. If he does run he will be moved to 6th 7th or 8th depending on how he stands in polls. So far no polling data has included him.
Democrats
1st: Hillary Clinton, is surprisingly rising and Obama falling she still holds double digit leads in early primaries and nationwide. She trails badly against Giuliani and McCain though, but most do. If she wants the Democratic Nomination I believe it is hers. She still is the one to beat.
2nd: Barack Obama, has fallen in numbers since he announced his interest in this race. It is hard to believe that year ago no one would of thought of him as a presidential contender until 2012 and 2016. He still is a top contender, but trails Clinton by double digits and is way behing Giuliani and McCain. The good news is he has taken the 2nd place spot well away from John Edwards and Al Gore.
3rd: John Edwards, is gaining in numbers and has taken the 3rd place spot from Al Gore. He is now leading Gore in some polls and is gaining against Obama and Clinton. He is doing extremely well against McCain and almost as well against Giuliani. He is the only one that can actually take on the big GOP two as well call them McCain and Giuliani.
4th: Al Gore, hasn't quite yet totally ruled out a presidential run in 2008 and if he does run it will be very late in the game, but he will recieve a big bounce. I think democrats will give this guy another chance since more people voted for him in 2000 to be their president. I also believe something inside of him really wants another shot as well. If he does not run in 2008 look for him to run in 2012 and maybe if he is still up to it 2016, but I doubt it.
5th: Wesley Clark, will likely make an announcement soon and is gaining numbers and could be possibly a force to concerned about.
6th: Evan Bayh, with his announcement of an exploratory commitee and the withdrawal of Feingold and Warner he might recieve a boost, but he is very unknown outside of his small state of Indiana.
7th: Bill Richardson, is also very unknown outside of New Mexico and wouldn't perform well if he ran.
8th: Joseph Biden, better be soon gaining in number sor he will find this to be his old presidential bid.
9th: John Kerry, His blunder about soilders in Irag right before the election caused him to become dead last in the 20 most influential leaders poll and has caused him to go from the top 5 to 9th or tenth.
10th: Tom Vilsack, his announcement bounce died out and he is not even doign well in his homestate of Iowa. He shouldn't go far.
11th: Christopher Dodd, No one really knows that he officially is a candidate for president and he is always dead last in polls so he wont even make it past NH.
12th: Dennis Kucinich, finished last in the 2004 primaries and is not even included in polls he should do as well as last time.
13th: Tom Daschle, won't run so he is at the bottom. Also his 2004 defeat wouldn't look good in November of 2008.
14th: Mike Gravel, I bet only 1 out of evry 50 people know who he is and he isn't included in polls also so he won't do well. He is dead last in out ratings and will stay that way most likely.
Republican Candidates who have stated they will run or are likely to announce in a month or have filed for a exploratory committee.
(R)Arizona U.S. Senator John McCain (Exploratory Committee)
(R)Fmr. New York City Mayor Rudy Giuliani (Exploratory Committee)
(R)Fmr. Wisconsin Governor Tommy Thompson (Exploratory Committee) (R)California U.S. Congressman Duncan Hunter (Exploratory Committee)
(R)Kansas U.S. Senator Sam Brownback (To Announce Intention)
Evan Bayh has announced he will form a Presidential Exploratory Committee. You all should know him as the Politics-Central Dem. Presidential Poll winner and representative of the Democrats in our General Election Poll. He is the current front runner to become Politic-Central's President of the United States.
Democratic Candidates who have stated that they will run, announced, will announce soon or have filed for a exploratory committee.
(D)Delaware U.S. Senator Joe Biden (Announced)
(D)Conn. U.S. Senator Christopher Dodd (Announced)
(D)Iowa State Governor Tom Vilsack (Announced)
(D)Fmr. Alaskan U.S. Senator Mike Gravel (Announced)
(D)Fmr. N. Carolina U.S. Senator John Edwards (To Announce)
(D)Indiana U.S. Senator Evan Bayh
Here are my Complete Ratings for All of the Possible Contenders
Republicans
1st: John McCain, I believe Senator McCain has recieved a boost in polls and has almost caught up to Giuliani in GOP polls. He recieves far better numbers in General Election Poll Match-Ups with Democrats giving him our #1 slot in the GOP. Look for his numbers to continue to grow as the campaign continues and upon his official announcement. Also McCain defeats Giuliani in the all important New Hampshire Primary by double digits.
2nd: Rudolph Giuliani, recieves better numbers among the GOP, but stumps to McCain in nationwide polls. His liberal views have will also cause so lack of support. I still view Giuliani's popularity will drop. Like I said Giuliani also trails McCain in New Hampshire.
3rd: Mitt Romney, Romney recieves very poor nationwide polls and come in a distant third in GOP Polls including NH. Romney is still deciding, but I think he isn't going to do well if he doe decide to win and look for one of the other candidates to replace him in this third place spot. Right now he is the alternative to McCain and Giuliani. Romney might gain support with Frist's withdrawal.
4th: Newt Gingrich, rising in support and should take Romney's slot soon. He also has poor numbers to front runners Giuliani and McCain and he mignt not even run if McCain and Giuliani run and there is a 90% chance they will so I don't look for Gingrich to run. He might toy with the idea since he is in 4th and 3rd places in polls, but will ultimately decide not to run. He might also gain with Frist's withdrawal
5th: Sam Brownback, will announce here soon and is gaining in numbers, but should fall with Tommy Thompson's entrance into the race. Look for Brownback to fall apart in the campaign and not go far. Brownback will also likely gain the most momentum with Frist's withdrawal.
6th: Tommy Thompson, With his entrance into the race he has stirred some momentum, but he will likely lose this support with Frist's withdrwal and look for that to hurt his campaign.
7th: Mike Huckabee, Not even mentioned in most polling and hasn't been heard from in much of the early campaigning season. Huckabee might get boost in southern states with Frist gone, but most look like they will benefit from Frist's withdrwal.
8th: Chuck Hagel, also hasn't been heard from, but has said he will be making a decidon soon.
9th: Duncan Hunter, His announcement surprised many since no none one has heard of him, but he is recieving some numbers.
10th: Tom Tancredo, has come under alot of fire for his Florida 3rd world comment and that has really hurt his standings.
11th: George Pataki, dead last in most polls I don't think Pataki should even try.
12th: Jim Gilmore, still questioning a possible he will not likely run so I put him dead last. If he does run he will be moved to 6th 7th or 8th depending on how he stands in polls. So far no polling data has included him.
Democrats
1st: Hillary Clinton, is surprisingly rising and Obama falling she still holds double digit leads in early primaries and nationwide. She trails badly against Giuliani and McCain though, but most do. If she wants the Democratic Nomination I believe it is hers. She still is the one to beat.
2nd: Barack Obama, has fallen in numbers since he announced his interest in this race. It is hard to believe that year ago no one would of thought of him as a presidential contender until 2012 and 2016. He still is a top contender, but trails Clinton by double digits and is way behing Giuliani and McCain. The good news is he has taken the 2nd place spot well away from John Edwards and Al Gore.
3rd: John Edwards, is gaining in numbers and has taken the 3rd place spot from Al Gore. He is now leading Gore in some polls and is gaining against Obama and Clinton. He is doing extremely well against McCain and almost as well against Giuliani. He is the only one that can actually take on the big GOP two as well call them McCain and Giuliani.
4th: Al Gore, hasn't quite yet totally ruled out a presidential run in 2008 and if he does run it will be very late in the game, but he will recieve a big bounce. I think democrats will give this guy another chance since more people voted for him in 2000 to be their president. I also believe something inside of him really wants another shot as well. If he does not run in 2008 look for him to run in 2012 and maybe if he is still up to it 2016, but I doubt it.
5th: Wesley Clark, will likely make an announcement soon and is gaining numbers and could be possibly a force to concerned about.
6th: Evan Bayh, with his announcement of an exploratory commitee and the withdrawal of Feingold and Warner he might recieve a boost, but he is very unknown outside of his small state of Indiana.
7th: Bill Richardson, is also very unknown outside of New Mexico and wouldn't perform well if he ran.
8th: Joseph Biden, better be soon gaining in number sor he will find this to be his old presidential bid.
9th: John Kerry, His blunder about soilders in Irag right before the election caused him to become dead last in the 20 most influential leaders poll and has caused him to go from the top 5 to 9th or tenth.
10th: Tom Vilsack, his announcement bounce died out and he is not even doign well in his homestate of Iowa. He shouldn't go far.
11th: Christopher Dodd, No one really knows that he officially is a candidate for president and he is always dead last in polls so he wont even make it past NH.
12th: Dennis Kucinich, finished last in the 2004 primaries and is not even included in polls he should do as well as last time.
13th: Tom Daschle, won't run so he is at the bottom. Also his 2004 defeat wouldn't look good in November of 2008.
14th: Mike Gravel, I bet only 1 out of evry 50 people know who he is and he isn't included in polls also so he won't do well. He is dead last in out ratings and will stay that way most likely.
That is all for my ratings.
Independent Bob Hargis has been added to our poll!
No comments:
Post a Comment