This week there is a major shake-up in rankings. Here's your end of the month rankings.
1st: John McCain (falling) McCain remains slightly ahead for his remaining strong numbers in Iowa, NH, and SC. His fundraising is short and his polls are falling so we should look for a new candidate in this #1 slot next week.
2nd Tied: Mitt Romney (rising) Rising public support and new poll numbers showing him ahead in Iowa, and NH and thrusted Romney to the #2 spot. His growing popularity may help his poor national numbers, but with Gingrich and Thompson still likely to jump in, look for him to lose the spotlight soon.
2nd Tied: Rudy Giuliani (falling) Giuliani remains ahead in national polls, but his polls in early states remains poor. He has slipped to 3rd in IA, NH and SC. He has yet to campaign in the lareg states where he is strong, like NY, CA and TX. If he could win there he could survive losing those key earl states.
4th: Fred Thompson (steady) His numbers remain in the high single to low doble digit numbers and once he jumps in his numbers could help him win in NH, IA and SC.
5th: Newt Gingrich (steady) Gingrich looks like a candidate now more than ever, with a countdown to the day he will decide to run on his PAC website. Gingrich could really shake up the field if he were to enter and he migth even thrust this race into a 5 man stage.
6th: Mike Huckabee (steady) Huckabee remains the leader of the 2nd tier of candidates with his national polls numbers averageing at 3-4%. Thats still weak but if a darkhorse were to happen he would likely be that darkhorse. Besides Arkansas Governors are known for major comebacks.
7th: Sam Brownback (steady) Up 2 positions since last month. His support in polls has shifted him to the highest position he has been in 3 months since he left the top 5.
8th: Tommy Thompson (steady) Poor national and Iowa polls give Thompson a slip in positions.
9th: Jim Gilmore (steady) Gilmore is too unknown and remains that so he stays about where he always is.
10th: Chuck Hagel (steady) Hagel seems more likely to run as an Independent for president than a republican. His re-election plans still look possible too. I really dont see Hagel as a GOP candidate for president but maybe an Independent candidate.
11th: Ron Paul (steady) Last weeks debate between Rudy and Paul raised his name recognition and put him in the lead among the 3rd tier.
12th: Duncan Hunter (steady) Hunter was strong in the past 2 debates, but he remains a 3rd tier candidate. Polls show he doesn't even register.
13th: Tom Tancredo (steady) Dead last is a whole new low for Tancredo. He is the first to hold that title since Paul jumped in. He remains unpopualr by his immigration remarks. He might not even break 5% in Colorado's primary.
Democrats:
1st: Hillary Clinton (steady) She remains ahead nationally and in nearly every state, except for the all important Iowa. Many had hoped she would quit Iowa and concentrate in NH where she leads. Hillary wouldn't hear of it and she will remain in Iowa. Polls there currently show her in 3rd 13 points from the lead.
2nd: Barack Obama (steady) His amazing surge of support that almost dethroned Hillary as frontrunner for the first time in the campaign has ended. He now remains in a distant 2nd nationally and 2nd in most of the early states. He only leads in Illionis his homestate. Obama's fundraising and strong numbers against Republicans, may help his chances though.
3rd: John Edwards (steady) The only thing keeping Edwards alive is that he leads in the first contest of the election season Iowa. If he loses Iowa his campaign will be dead. If he wins in Iowa that surge could help him pull a comeback Kerry move and win NH, and SC.
4th: Bill Richardson (steady) He and Biden are going nowhere so I put him in his old spot of 4th.
5th: Joe Biden (steady) Really I dont know why these other guys are even running. They really dont ahve much of a shot.
6th: Christopher Dodd (steady) He has finally made a pulse in some polls and is leading the 3rd tier.
7th: Dennis Kucinich (steady) About where he was 4 years ago. Kucinich will likely never even break 3% in any state.
8th: Mike Gravel (steady) A solid job at making a name for himself in the debate about a month ago. He was able to get included in some polls now but he fails to even make a 1% rating.
Note: Wesley Clark and Al Sharpton were removed from rankings because they are not likely to run.
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